Latvia 25/26 Regular Season Final · OT Fri 31 Oct 2025 247 spectators
P1 1:0 P2 1:3 P3 2:1 OT 0:1

Pre-game win probability

Upset · winner had 29%
71% FBK Valmiera
vs
29% Lielvārde/Unihoc

Chance to win the game, overtime and penalty shots included, from the Elo power ratings before the game (FBK Valmiera 1541, Lielvārde/Unihoc 1427) with home advantage. How it works

Game story

More dramatic than 88% of this season's games
FBK Valmiera 16:14 1:0 Markuss Eduards Pazāns23:33 1:1 Aleksis Saļkovs24:04 1:2 Raivo Kīsnics26:33 2:2 Aleksejs Jakovļevs36:28 2:3 Aivis Kusiņš43:28 2:4 Jānis Plots48:12 3:4 Ralfs Matīss Balodis48:58 4:4 Georgs MāziņšOT 06:16 4:5 Aleksis Saļkovs Lielvārde/Unihoc
Lead changes
1
Ties
3
Largest lead
2 Lielvārde/Unihoc
Comeback
1 goals down

Key moments

  1. 48:12 3:4 Ralfs Matīss Balodis (FBK Valmiera) FBK Valmiera's win chance 18% → 37%
  2. 48:58 4:4 Georgs Māziņš (FBK Valmiera) FBK Valmiera's win chance 36% → 62%
  3. OT 06:16 4:5 Aleksis Saļkovs (Lielvārde/Unihoc) Lielvārde/Unihoc's win chance 41% → 100%

The line shows FBK Valmiera's chance to win (top) against Lielvārde/Unihoc's (bottom) through the game, from the pre-game ratings, the score and the time left. Dots are goals, bars under the chart penalties. How it works

Stat Guide

Quick explanation of the game and pre-game metrics shown below.

  • Power play efficiency: How often a team scores while playing with a man advantage.
  • Penalty kill efficiency: How often a team prevents goals while shorthanded.
  • PPG: Points per game in the selected sample.
  • GPG / GA/G: Goals scored / conceded per game.
  • GD/G: Goal difference per game (scored minus conceded).
  • OT/PS Wins/Losses: Overtime or shootout outcomes (close-game execution).
  • Last 5 Form: Most recent five games (`W`, `L`, `D`, including OT variants).
  • Win probability: Chance to win from the Elo power ratings of both teams before the game, home advantage, overtime and penalty shots included.
  • Game winner / Clutch / Overtime: Labels in the game events. The game winner gave the winner one more goal than the loser's final total; a clutch goal tied the game or gave the lead in the last ten minutes.

Power play efficiency

100.0 / 0.0

Penalty kill efficiency

100.0 / 0.0

Penalties

1 / 2

Points in close games (≤2 goals)

1 / 2

Shootout W/L

0-0 / 0-0

Special Teams

HomeMetricAway
2Power plays1
2Power play goals0
1Penalty kills2
0Goals against on PK2

Game Flow

HomeMetricAway
1Take the Lead3
2Equalizers1
1First goal0
0Close game won1
1Close game lost0

Penalties

HomeTypeAway
12 minutes2
02+2 minutes0
010 minutes0
0Match penalty0

Goals per period

Game Events

General Season Performance

HomeMetricAway
9Games played7
14Points6
1.56Points per Game (PPG)0.86
4Wins2
3Losses5
0 OT/PS Wins 0
2 OT/PS Losses 0
6.67Goals per Game (GPG)4.14
5.78Goals Against per Game (GA/G)5.14
0.89Goal Difference per Game (GD/G)-1.0
2.60Penalties per Game (Pen/G)3.0
1.0Penalty Kill Goals Against per Game (PK GA/G)0.80

Last 5 Form

HomeMetricAway
L W W L W Last 5 games W L W L L
2.0Points per Game (PPG)1.20
2.60Goal Difference per Game (GD/G)-0.40

Home vs Away Strength

HomeMetricAway
1.40Points per Game (PPG)0.75
1.20Goal Difference per Game (GD/G)-1.75
54.55Power Play % vs Away Penalty Kill % (PP% vs PK%)66.67
66.67Penalty Kill % vs Away Power Play % (PK% vs PP%)53.85