Latvia 25/26 Regular Season Final Fri 14 Nov 2025 395 spectators
P1 1:1 P2 2:2 P3 2:4

Pre-game win probability

31% Lekrings
vs
69% Rubene

Chance to win the game, overtime and penalty shots included, from the Elo power ratings before the game (Lekrings 1503, Rubene 1686) with home advantage. How it works

Game story

More dramatic than 94% of this season's games
Lekrings 07:48 1:0 Mārtiņš Muižnieks18:24 1:1 Dāvis Zēmelis22:05 2:1 Bruno Beķeris31:00 3:1 Rūdolfs Dāvis Maklers34:57 3:2 Artis Matīss Fogels37:34 3:3 Matīss Celms42:50 4:3 Artūrs Jurševskis43:23 5:3 Mārtiņš Muižnieks45:37 5:4 Matīss Celms52:28 5:5 Mikus Edvards Ķikuts54:15 5:6 Pavel Semenov59:26 5:7 Mikus Edvards Ķikuts Rubene
Lead changes
1
Ties
3
Largest lead
2 Lekrings
Comeback
2 goals down

Key moments

  1. 42:50 4:3 Artūrs Jurševskis (Lekrings) Lekrings's win chance 38% → 59%
  2. 52:28 5:5 Mikus Edvards Ķikuts (Rubene) Rubene's win chance 30% → 60%
  3. 54:15 5:6 Pavel Semenov (Rubene) Rubene's win chance 59% → 85%

The line shows Lekrings's chance to win (top) against Rubene's (bottom) through the game, from the pre-game ratings, the score and the time left. Dots are goals, bars under the chart penalties. How it works

Stat Guide

Quick explanation of the game and pre-game metrics shown below.

  • Power play efficiency: How often a team scores while playing with a man advantage.
  • Penalty kill efficiency: How often a team prevents goals while shorthanded.
  • PPG: Points per game in the selected sample.
  • GPG / GA/G: Goals scored / conceded per game.
  • GD/G: Goal difference per game (scored minus conceded).
  • OT/PS Wins/Losses: Overtime or shootout outcomes (close-game execution).
  • Last 5 Form: Most recent five games (`W`, `L`, `D`, including OT variants).
  • Win probability: Chance to win from the Elo power ratings of both teams before the game, home advantage, overtime and penalty shots included.
  • Game winner / Clutch / Overtime: Labels in the game events. The game winner gave the winner one more goal than the loser's final total; a clutch goal tied the game or gave the lead in the last ten minutes.

Power play efficiency

28.57 / 40.0

Penalty kill efficiency

60.0 / 71.43

Penalties

5 / 8

Points in close games (≤2 goals)

0 / 3

Shootout W/L

0-0 / 0-0

Special Teams

HomeMetricAway
7Power plays5
2Power play goals2
5Penalty kills7
2Goals against on PK2

Game Flow

HomeMetricAway
3Take the Lead1
0Equalizers3
1First goal0
0Close game won1
1Close game lost0

Penalties

HomeTypeAway
32 minutes7
12+2 minutes1
010 minutes0
1Match penalty0

Goals per period

Game Events

General Season Performance

HomeMetricAway
10Games played10
16Points26
1.60Points per Game (PPG)2.60
5Wins8
4Losses1
0 OT/PS Wins 1
1 OT/PS Losses 0
5.40Goals per Game (GPG)8.20
5.30Goals Against per Game (GA/G)4.60
0.10Goal Difference per Game (GD/G)3.60
2.0Penalties per Game (Pen/G)1.80
0.60Penalty Kill Goals Against per Game (PK GA/G)0.60

Last 5 Form

HomeMetricAway
W L W L W Last 5 games W W L W W
1.80Points per Game (PPG)2.40
1.60Goal Difference per Game (GD/G)1.80

Home vs Away Strength

HomeMetricAway
1.80Points per Game (PPG)3.0
0.20Goal Difference per Game (GD/G)3.0
22.22Power Play % vs Away Penalty Kill % (PP% vs PK%)62.50
70.0Penalty Kill % vs Away Power Play % (PK% vs PP%)40.0