Latvia 25/26 Regular Season Final Fri 14 Nov 2025 88 spectators
FBK SĀC Home
4:9
Ķekava/RB&B Away
P1 2:2 P2 1:3 P3 1:4

Pre-game win probability

55% FBK SĀC
vs
45% Ķekava/RB&B

Chance to win the game, overtime and penalty shots included, from the Elo power ratings before the game (FBK SĀC 1472, Ķekava/RB&B 1485) with home advantage. How it works

Game story

More dramatic than 63% of this season's games
FBK SĀC 08:46 0:1 Endijs Umberts Barruss09:06 1:1 Ralfs Celmiņš14:57 2:1 Kristiāns Kociņš19:33 2:2 Mārtiņš Smirnovs29:00 2:3 (FBK SĀC) bumbiņa savos vārtos35:22 2:4 Ričards Orste36:41 2:5 Klāvs Ziedonis-Jansons38:06 3:5 Kristers Orlovs43:35 3:6 Klāvs Ziedonis-Jansons46:31 3:7 Svens Balodis57:44 3:8 Endijs Umberts Barruss58:36 3:9 Rūdolfs Dilbergs59:33 4:9 Kristers Orlovs Ķekava/RB&B
Lead changes
2
Ties
2
Largest lead
6 Ķekava/RB&B
Comeback
1 goals down

Key moments

  1. 19:33 2:2 Mārtiņš Smirnovs (Ķekava/RB&B) Ķekava/RB&B's win chance 32% → 46%
  2. 29:00 2:3 (FBK SĀC) bumbiņa savos vārtos (Ķekava/RB&B) Ķekava/RB&B's win chance 46% → 62%
  3. 35:22 2:4 Ričards Orste (Ķekava/RB&B) Ķekava/RB&B's win chance 65% → 79%

The line shows FBK SĀC's chance to win (top) against Ķekava/RB&B's (bottom) through the game, from the pre-game ratings, the score and the time left. Dots are goals, bars under the chart penalties. How it works

Stat Guide

Quick explanation of the game and pre-game metrics shown below.

  • Power play efficiency: How often a team scores while playing with a man advantage.
  • Penalty kill efficiency: How often a team prevents goals while shorthanded.
  • PPG: Points per game in the selected sample.
  • GPG / GA/G: Goals scored / conceded per game.
  • GD/G: Goal difference per game (scored minus conceded).
  • OT/PS Wins/Losses: Overtime or shootout outcomes (close-game execution).
  • Last 5 Form: Most recent five games (`W`, `L`, `D`, including OT variants).
  • Win probability: Chance to win from the Elo power ratings of both teams before the game, home advantage, overtime and penalty shots included.
  • Game winner / Clutch / Overtime: Labels in the game events. The game winner gave the winner one more goal than the loser's final total; a clutch goal tied the game or gave the lead in the last ten minutes.

Power play efficiency

n.a. / n.a.

Penalty kill efficiency

n.a. / n.a.

Penalties

0 / 0

Points in close games (≤2 goals)

0 / 0

Shootout W/L

0-0 / 0-0

Special Teams

HomeMetricAway
0Power plays0
0Power play goals0
0Penalty kills0
0Goals against on PK0

Game Flow

HomeMetricAway
1Take the Lead2
1Equalizers1
0First goal1
0Close game won0
0Close game lost0

Penalties

HomeTypeAway
02 minutes0
02+2 minutes0
010 minutes0
0Match penalty0

Goals per period

Game Events

General Season Performance

HomeMetricAway
9Games played10
12Points12
1.33Points per Game (PPG)1.20
4Wins3
5Losses5
0 OT/PS Wins 1
0 OT/PS Losses 1
7.44Goals per Game (GPG)5.20
8.44Goals Against per Game (GA/G)5.60
-1.0Goal Difference per Game (GD/G)-0.40
1.20Penalties per Game (Pen/G)2.60
0.40Penalty Kill Goals Against per Game (PK GA/G)0.80

Last 5 Form

HomeMetricAway
L L W L W Last 5 games W L W L W
1.20Points per Game (PPG)1.80
-2.40Goal Difference per Game (GD/G)1.0

Home vs Away Strength

HomeMetricAway
1.50Points per Game (PPG)0.80
1.0Goal Difference per Game (GD/G)-1.60
33.33Power Play % vs Away Penalty Kill % (PP% vs PK%)66.67
66.67Penalty Kill % vs Away Power Play % (PK% vs PP%)40.0