Latvia 25/26 Regular Season Final Sat 15 Nov 2025 111 spectators
P1 3:0 P2 0:1 P3 3:2

Pre-game win probability

69% Talsu NSS/Krauzers
vs
31% FBK Valmiera

Chance to win the game, overtime and penalty shots included, from the Elo power ratings before the game (Talsu NSS/Krauzers 1619, FBK Valmiera 1527) with home advantage. How it works

Game story

More dramatic than 55% of this season's games
Talsu NSS/Krauzers 02:20 1:0 Jānis Ragovskis06:40 2:0 Adrians Spunde14:50 3:0 Rūdolfs Niedrājs28:14 3:1 Ričards Eglītis42:24 3:2 Ralfs Matīss Balodis48:22 3:3 Ričards Eglītis50:27 4:3 Matīss Jorens Švedenbergs54:30 5:3 Jānis Ragovskis58:33 6:3 Adrians Spunde FBK Valmiera
Lead changes
0
Ties
1
Largest lead
3 Talsu NSS/Krauzers
Comeback
–

Key moments

  1. 42:24 3:2 Ralfs Matīss Balodis (FBK Valmiera) FBK Valmiera's win chance 10% → 21%
  2. 48:22 3:3 Ričards Eglītis (FBK Valmiera) FBK Valmiera's win chance 19% → 40%
  3. 50:27 4:3 Matīss Jorens Švedenbergs (Talsu NSS/Krauzers) Talsu NSS/Krauzers's win chance 60% → 82%

The line shows Talsu NSS/Krauzers's chance to win (top) against FBK Valmiera's (bottom) through the game, from the pre-game ratings, the score and the time left. Dots are goals, bars under the chart penalties. How it works

Stat Guide

Quick explanation of the game and pre-game metrics shown below.

  • Power play efficiency: How often a team scores while playing with a man advantage.
  • Penalty kill efficiency: How often a team prevents goals while shorthanded.
  • PPG: Points per game in the selected sample.
  • GPG / GA/G: Goals scored / conceded per game.
  • GD/G: Goal difference per game (scored minus conceded).
  • OT/PS Wins/Losses: Overtime or shootout outcomes (close-game execution).
  • Last 5 Form: Most recent five games (`W`, `L`, `D`, including OT variants).
  • Win probability: Chance to win from the Elo power ratings of both teams before the game, home advantage, overtime and penalty shots included.
  • Game winner / Clutch / Overtime: Labels in the game events. The game winner gave the winner one more goal than the loser's final total; a clutch goal tied the game or gave the lead in the last ten minutes.

Power play efficiency

0.0 / 33.33

Penalty kill efficiency

66.67 / 100.0

Penalties

4 / 2

Points in close games (≤2 goals)

0 / 0

Shootout W/L

0-0 / 0-0

Special Teams

HomeMetricAway
2Power plays3
0Power play goals1
3Penalty kills2
1Goals against on PK0

Game Flow

HomeMetricAway
2Take the Lead0
0Equalizers1
1First goal0
0Close game won0
0Close game lost0

Penalties

HomeTypeAway
42 minutes1
02+2 minutes0
010 minutes0
0Match penalty1

Goals per period

Game Events

General Season Performance

HomeMetricAway
10Games played10
20Points15
2.0Points per Game (PPG)1.50
6Wins4
3Losses3
1 OT/PS Wins 0
0 OT/PS Losses 3
7.90Goals per Game (GPG)6.40
4.80Goals Against per Game (GA/G)5.70
3.10Goal Difference per Game (GD/G)0.70
2.20Penalties per Game (Pen/G)2.40
0.40Penalty Kill Goals Against per Game (PK GA/G)0.80

Last 5 Form

HomeMetricAway
W W L W L Last 5 games W W L W L
1.80Points per Game (PPG)2.20
3.40Goal Difference per Game (GD/G)2.60

Home vs Away Strength

HomeMetricAway
2.14Points per Game (PPG)1.75
3.86Goal Difference per Game (GD/G)0.50
55.56Power Play % vs Away Penalty Kill % (PP% vs PK%)71.43
81.82Penalty Kill % vs Away Power Play % (PK% vs PP%)63.64