Latvia 25/26 Regular Season Final Wed 19 Nov 2025 146 spectators
Rubene Home
11:7
FBK SĀC Away
P1 5:5 P2 2:1 P3 4:1

Pre-game win probability

87% Rubene
vs
13% FBK SĀC

Chance to win the game, overtime and penalty shots included, from the Elo power ratings before the game (Rubene 1704, FBK SĀC 1417) with home advantage. How it works

Game story

More dramatic than 63% of this season's games
Rubene 06:33 1:0 Artūrs Bratčikovs07:04 2:0 Gustavs Siliņš07:13 2:1 Ralfs Celmiņš10:34 2:2 Kevins Šmits11:11 3:2 Artūrs Bratčikovs13:00 3:3 Dēvids Osītis13:33 4:3 Mikus Edvards Ķikuts14:04 5:3 Jēkabs Keišs18:50 5:4 Miks Nagliņš19:25 5:5 Kristers Orlovs22:27 5:6 Kevins Šmits23:12 6:6 Gustavs Siliņš31:02 7:6 Gustavs Siliņš48:53 7:7 Kevins Šmits53:50 8:7 Juris Zilberts55:42 9:7 Mikus Edvards Ķikuts57:51 10:7 Dāvis Zēmelis59:11 11:7 Matīss Celms FBK SĀC
Lead changes
2
Ties
5
Largest lead
4 Rubene
Comeback
1 goals down

Key moments

  1. 23:12 6:6 Gustavs Siliņš (Rubene) Rubene's win chance 74% → 84%
  2. 48:53 7:7 Kevins Šmits (FBK SĀC) FBK SĀC's win chance 11% → 27%
  3. 53:50 8:7 Juris Zilberts (Rubene) Rubene's win chance 71% → 90%

The line shows Rubene's chance to win (top) against FBK SĀC's (bottom) through the game, from the pre-game ratings, the score and the time left. Dots are goals, bars under the chart penalties. How it works

Stat Guide

Quick explanation of the game and pre-game metrics shown below.

  • Power play efficiency: How often a team scores while playing with a man advantage.
  • Penalty kill efficiency: How often a team prevents goals while shorthanded.
  • PPG: Points per game in the selected sample.
  • GPG / GA/G: Goals scored / conceded per game.
  • GD/G: Goal difference per game (scored minus conceded).
  • OT/PS Wins/Losses: Overtime or shootout outcomes (close-game execution).
  • Last 5 Form: Most recent five games (`W`, `L`, `D`, including OT variants).
  • Win probability: Chance to win from the Elo power ratings of both teams before the game, home advantage, overtime and penalty shots included.
  • Game winner / Clutch / Overtime: Labels in the game events. The game winner gave the winner one more goal than the loser's final total; a clutch goal tied the game or gave the lead in the last ten minutes.

Power play efficiency

66.67 / 0.0

Penalty kill efficiency

100.0 / 33.33

Penalties

1 / 3

Points in close games (≤2 goals)

0 / 0

Shootout W/L

0-0 / 0-0

Special Teams

HomeMetricAway
3Power plays1
2Power play goals0
1Penalty kills3
0Goals against on PK2

Game Flow

HomeMetricAway
5Take the Lead1
1Equalizers4
1First goal0
0Close game won0
0Close game lost0

Penalties

HomeTypeAway
12 minutes3
02+2 minutes0
010 minutes0
0Match penalty0

Goals per period

Game Events

General Season Performance

HomeMetricAway
11Games played10
29Points12
2.64Points per Game (PPG)1.20
9Wins4
1Losses6
1 OT/PS Wins 0
0 OT/PS Losses 0
8.09Goals per Game (GPG)7.10
4.64Goals Against per Game (GA/G)8.50
3.45Goal Difference per Game (GD/G)-1.40
3.0Penalties per Game (Pen/G)1.20
0.80Penalty Kill Goals Against per Game (PK GA/G)0.40

Last 5 Form

HomeMetricAway
W L W W W Last 5 games L W L W L
2.40Points per Game (PPG)1.20
2.0Goal Difference per Game (GD/G)-1.40

Home vs Away Strength

HomeMetricAway
2.20Points per Game (PPG)1.29
4.20Goal Difference per Game (GD/G)-1.57
38.89Power Play % vs Away Penalty Kill % (PP% vs PK%)66.67
69.23Penalty Kill % vs Away Power Play % (PK% vs PP%)44.44