Latvia 25/26 Regular Season Final Sat 22 Nov 2025 294 spectators
Ķekava/RB&B Home
14:7
Bauska Away
P1 4:2 P2 6:1 P3 4:3

Pre-game win probability

85% Ķekava/RB&B
vs
15% Bauska

Chance to win the game, overtime and penalty shots included, from the Elo power ratings before the game (Ķekava/RB&B 1517, Bauska 1264) with home advantage. How it works

Game story

More dramatic than 31% of this season's games
Ķekava/RB&B 04:16 1:0 Svens Balodis12:12 1:1 Matīss Dulbe13:33 1:2 Matīss Dulbe14:21 2:2 Mārtiņš Smirnovs15:03 3:2 Kārlis Degins19:53 4:2 Artūrs Jansons25:53 4:3 Pēteris Zeltiņš29:41 5:3 Endijs Umberts Barruss30:41 6:3 Patriks Zvejnieks31:58 7:3 Endijs Kleistrovs32:39 8:3 Patriks Zvejnieks37:04 9:3 Valters Kalnietis38:34 10:3 Endijs Kleistrovs41:46 10:4 Pēteris Zeltiņš42:07 10:5 Pēteris Zeltiņš46:09 11:5 Reinis Melgailis47:00 12:5 Kārlis Degins52:30 12:6 Ralfs Akmentiņš58:47 13:6 Valters Kalnietis59:08 14:6 Toms Ķeirāns Bauska
Lead changes
2
Ties
2
Largest lead
8 Ķekava/RB&B
Comeback
1 goals down

Key moments

  1. 13:33 1:2 Matīss Dulbe (Bauska) Bauska's win chance 16% → 25%
  2. 14:21 2:2 Mārtiņš Smirnovs (Ķekava/RB&B) Ķekava/RB&B's win chance 75% → 84%
  3. 15:03 3:2 Kārlis Degins (Ķekava/RB&B) Ķekava/RB&B's win chance 84% → 90%

The line shows Ķekava/RB&B's chance to win (top) against Bauska's (bottom) through the game, from the pre-game ratings, the score and the time left. Dots are goals, bars under the chart penalties. How it works

Stat Guide

Quick explanation of the game and pre-game metrics shown below.

  • Power play efficiency: How often a team scores while playing with a man advantage.
  • Penalty kill efficiency: How often a team prevents goals while shorthanded.
  • PPG: Points per game in the selected sample.
  • GPG / GA/G: Goals scored / conceded per game.
  • GD/G: Goal difference per game (scored minus conceded).
  • OT/PS Wins/Losses: Overtime or shootout outcomes (close-game execution).
  • Last 5 Form: Most recent five games (`W`, `L`, `D`, including OT variants).
  • Win probability: Chance to win from the Elo power ratings of both teams before the game, home advantage, overtime and penalty shots included.
  • Game winner / Clutch / Overtime: Labels in the game events. The game winner gave the winner one more goal than the loser's final total; a clutch goal tied the game or gave the lead in the last ten minutes.

Power play efficiency

100.0 / 66.67

Penalty kill efficiency

33.33 / 0.0

Penalties

3 / 5

Points in close games (≤2 goals)

0 / 0

Shootout W/L

0-0 / 0-0

Special Teams

HomeMetricAway
3Power plays3
3Power play goals2
3Penalty kills3
2Goals against on PK3

Game Flow

HomeMetricAway
3Take the Lead1
1Equalizers1
1First goal0
0Close game won0
0Close game lost0

Penalties

HomeTypeAway
22 minutes4
12+2 minutes0
010 minutes1
0Match penalty0

Goals per period

Game Events

General Season Performance

HomeMetricAway
12Games played12
15Points6
1.25Points per Game (PPG)0.50
4Wins1
6Losses9
1 OT/PS Wins 1
1 OT/PS Losses 1
5.58Goals per Game (GPG)5.33
5.67Goals Against per Game (GA/G)10.0
-0.08Goal Difference per Game (GD/G)-4.67
2.40Penalties per Game (Pen/G)2.80
0.80Penalty Kill Goals Against per Game (PK GA/G)1.40

Last 5 Form

HomeMetricAway
W L W W L Last 5 games L L L L W
1.60Points per Game (PPG)0.60
0.60Goal Difference per Game (GD/G)-3.0

Home vs Away Strength

HomeMetricAway
1.33Points per Game (PPG)0.17
0.33Goal Difference per Game (GD/G)-6.33
45.45Power Play % vs Away Penalty Kill % (PP% vs PK%)50.0
60.0Penalty Kill % vs Away Power Play % (PK% vs PP%)50.0