Latvia 25/26 Regular Season Final Sat 29 Nov 2025 98 spectators
P1 0:0 P2 2:2 P3 4:0

Pre-game win probability

96% Masters Ulbroka/LU
vs
4% Bauska

Chance to win the game, overtime and penalty shots included, from the Elo power ratings before the game (Masters Ulbroka/LU 1759, Bauska 1249) with home advantage. How it works

Game story

More dramatic than 33% of this season's games
Masters Ulbroka/LU 23:32 0:1 Artis Černovskis25:08 0:2 Ralfs Akmentiņš33:01 1:2 Krišjānis Tiltiņš36:42 2:2 Krišjānis Tiltiņš41:30 3:2 Niks Blumfelds48:51 4:2 Valters Lapiņš57:09 5:2 Jurģis Patriks Aizupietis58:50 6:2 Roberts Trofimenko Bauska
Lead changes
1
Ties
1
Largest lead
4 Masters Ulbroka/LU
Comeback
2 goals down

Key moments

  1. 25:08 0:2 Ralfs Akmentiņš (Bauska) Bauska's win chance 12% → 20%
  2. 33:01 1:2 Krišjānis Tiltiņš (Masters Ulbroka/LU) Masters Ulbroka/LU's win chance 72% → 84%
  3. 36:42 2:2 Krišjānis Tiltiņš (Masters Ulbroka/LU) Masters Ulbroka/LU's win chance 81% → 90%

The line shows Masters Ulbroka/LU's chance to win (top) against Bauska's (bottom) through the game, from the pre-game ratings, the score and the time left. Dots are goals, bars under the chart penalties. How it works

Stat Guide

Quick explanation of the game and pre-game metrics shown below.

  • Power play efficiency: How often a team scores while playing with a man advantage.
  • Penalty kill efficiency: How often a team prevents goals while shorthanded.
  • PPG: Points per game in the selected sample.
  • GPG / GA/G: Goals scored / conceded per game.
  • GD/G: Goal difference per game (scored minus conceded).
  • OT/PS Wins/Losses: Overtime or shootout outcomes (close-game execution).
  • Last 5 Form: Most recent five games (`W`, `L`, `D`, including OT variants).
  • Win probability: Chance to win from the Elo power ratings of both teams before the game, home advantage, overtime and penalty shots included.
  • Game winner / Clutch / Overtime: Labels in the game events. The game winner gave the winner one more goal than the loser's final total; a clutch goal tied the game or gave the lead in the last ten minutes.

Power play efficiency

n.a. / 0.0

Penalty kill efficiency

100.0 / n.a.

Penalties

3 / 0

Points in close games (≤2 goals)

0 / 0

Shootout W/L

0-0 / 0-0

Special Teams

HomeMetricAway
0Power plays3
0Power play goals0
3Penalty kills0
0Goals against on PK0

Game Flow

HomeMetricAway
1Take the Lead0
1Equalizers0
0First goal1
0Close game won0
0Close game lost0

Penalties

HomeTypeAway
32 minutes0
02+2 minutes0
010 minutes0
0Match penalty0

Goals per period

Game Events

General Season Performance

HomeMetricAway
13Games played13
38Points6
2.92Points per Game (PPG)0.46
12Wins1
0Losses10
1 OT/PS Wins 1
0 OT/PS Losses 1
7.62Goals per Game (GPG)5.46
4.23Goals Against per Game (GA/G)10.31
3.38Goal Difference per Game (GD/G)-4.85
2.0Penalties per Game (Pen/G)3.0
0.40Penalty Kill Goals Against per Game (PK GA/G)1.60

Last 5 Form

HomeMetricAway
W W W W W Last 5 games L L L W L
3.0Points per Game (PPG)0.60
3.40Goal Difference per Game (GD/G)-3.20

Home vs Away Strength

HomeMetricAway
2.86Points per Game (PPG)0.14
2.57Goal Difference per Game (GD/G)-6.43
45.45Power Play % vs Away Penalty Kill % (PP% vs PK%)38.46
75.0Penalty Kill % vs Away Power Play % (PK% vs PP%)50.0