Latvia 25/26 Regular Season Final Sun 30 Nov 2025 201 spectators
P1 0:0 P2 3:0 P3 2:2

Pre-game win probability

Upset · winner had 31%
31% Lekrings
vs
69% Talsu NSS/Krauzers

Chance to win the game, overtime and penalty shots included, from the Elo power ratings before the game (Lekrings 1494, Talsu NSS/Krauzers 1680) with home advantage. How it works

Game story

More dramatic than 51% of this season's games
Lekrings 31:00 1:0 Ričards Dēvits35:00 2:0 Bruno Beķeris36:02 3:0 Miķelis Koknesis Roops40:37 3:1 Linards Putniņš49:13 4:1 Rūdolfs Dāvis Maklers51:16 5:1 Olafs Zvīnis59:51 5:2 Adrians Spunde Talsu NSS/Krauzers
Lead changes
0
Ties
0
Largest lead
4 Lekrings
Comeback
–

Key moments

  1. 31:00 1:0 Ričards Dēvits (Lekrings) Lekrings's win chance 35% → 52%
  2. 35:00 2:0 Bruno Beķeris (Lekrings) Lekrings's win chance 54% → 71%
  3. 36:02 3:0 Miķelis Koknesis Roops (Lekrings) Lekrings's win chance 72% → 84%

The line shows Lekrings's chance to win (top) against Talsu NSS/Krauzers's (bottom) through the game, from the pre-game ratings, the score and the time left. Dots are goals, bars under the chart penalties. How it works

Stat Guide

Quick explanation of the game and pre-game metrics shown below.

  • Power play efficiency: How often a team scores while playing with a man advantage.
  • Penalty kill efficiency: How often a team prevents goals while shorthanded.
  • PPG: Points per game in the selected sample.
  • GPG / GA/G: Goals scored / conceded per game.
  • GD/G: Goal difference per game (scored minus conceded).
  • OT/PS Wins/Losses: Overtime or shootout outcomes (close-game execution).
  • Last 5 Form: Most recent five games (`W`, `L`, `D`, including OT variants).
  • Win probability: Chance to win from the Elo power ratings of both teams before the game, home advantage, overtime and penalty shots included.
  • Game winner / Clutch / Overtime: Labels in the game events. The game winner gave the winner one more goal than the loser's final total; a clutch goal tied the game or gave the lead in the last ten minutes.

Power play efficiency

33.33 / 50.0

Penalty kill efficiency

50.0 / 66.67

Penalties

2 / 3

Points in close games (≤2 goals)

0 / 0

Shootout W/L

0-0 / 0-0

Special Teams

HomeMetricAway
3Power plays2
1Power play goals1
2Penalty kills3
1Goals against on PK1

Game Flow

HomeMetricAway
1Take the Lead0
0Equalizers0
1First goal0
0Close game won0
0Close game lost0

Penalties

HomeTypeAway
22 minutes3
02+2 minutes0
010 minutes0
0Match penalty0

Goals per period

Game Events

General Season Performance

HomeMetricAway
13Games played13
19Points29
1.46Points per Game (PPG)2.23
6Wins9
6Losses3
0 OT/PS Wins 1
1 OT/PS Losses 0
5.54Goals per Game (GPG)7.77
5.69Goals Against per Game (GA/G)4.69
-0.15Goal Difference per Game (GD/G)3.08
2.0Penalties per Game (Pen/G)2.80
1.0Penalty Kill Goals Against per Game (PK GA/G)0.80

Last 5 Form

HomeMetricAway
L W L L W Last 5 games W L W W W
1.20Points per Game (PPG)2.40
-0.20Goal Difference per Game (GD/G)3.40

Home vs Away Strength

HomeMetricAway
1.50Points per Game (PPG)2.20
-0.17Goal Difference per Game (GD/G)2.0
18.18Power Play % vs Away Penalty Kill % (PP% vs PK%)63.64
50.0Penalty Kill % vs Away Power Play % (PK% vs PP%)33.33