Latvia 25/26 Regular Season Final · OT Fri 28 Nov 2025 53 spectators
FBK SĀC Home
6:5
FBK Valmiera Away
P1 2:1 P2 1:2 P3 2:2 OT 1:0

Pre-game win probability

40% FBK SĀC
vs
60% FBK Valmiera

Chance to win the game, overtime and penalty shots included, from the Elo power ratings before the game (FBK SĀC 1389, FBK Valmiera 1503) with home advantage. How it works

Game story

More dramatic than 97% of this season's games
FBK SĀC 04:27 1:0 Kevins Šmits07:12 2:0 Niks Nagliņš16:17 2:1 Ričards Eglītis27:17 3:1 Ralfs Stratans28:05 3:2 Ričards Eglītis28:43 3:3 Kārlis Viļums50:20 4:3 Tomass Kristofers Birstiņš51:43 4:4 Kārlis Viļums53:43 5:4 Tomass Kristofers Birstiņš57:19 5:5 Arvis KārkliņšOT 00:38 6:5 Kristers Orlovs FBK Valmiera
Lead changes
0
Ties
3
Largest lead
2 FBK SĀC
Comeback
–

Key moments

  1. 53:43 5:4 Tomass Kristofers Birstiņš (FBK SĀC) FBK SĀC's win chance 45% → 76%
  2. 57:19 5:5 Arvis Kārkliņš (FBK Valmiera) FBK Valmiera's win chance 17% → 54%
  3. OT 00:38 6:5 Kristers Orlovs (FBK SĀC) FBK SĀC's win chance 46% → 100%

The line shows FBK SĀC's chance to win (top) against FBK Valmiera's (bottom) through the game, from the pre-game ratings, the score and the time left. Dots are goals, bars under the chart penalties. How it works

Stat Guide

Quick explanation of the game and pre-game metrics shown below.

  • Power play efficiency: How often a team scores while playing with a man advantage.
  • Penalty kill efficiency: How often a team prevents goals while shorthanded.
  • PPG: Points per game in the selected sample.
  • GPG / GA/G: Goals scored / conceded per game.
  • GD/G: Goal difference per game (scored minus conceded).
  • OT/PS Wins/Losses: Overtime or shootout outcomes (close-game execution).
  • Last 5 Form: Most recent five games (`W`, `L`, `D`, including OT variants).
  • Win probability: Chance to win from the Elo power ratings of both teams before the game, home advantage, overtime and penalty shots included.
  • Game winner / Clutch / Overtime: Labels in the game events. The game winner gave the winner one more goal than the loser's final total; a clutch goal tied the game or gave the lead in the last ten minutes.

Power play efficiency

100.0 / n.a.

Penalty kill efficiency

n.a. / 0.0

Penalties

0 / 1

Points in close games (≤2 goals)

2 / 1

Shootout W/L

0-0 / 0-0

Special Teams

HomeMetricAway
1Power plays0
1Power play goals0
0Penalty kills1
0Goals against on PK1

Game Flow

HomeMetricAway
4Take the Lead0
0Equalizers3
1First goal0
1Close game won0
0Close game lost1

Penalties

HomeTypeAway
02 minutes1
02+2 minutes0
010 minutes0
0Match penalty0

Goals per period

Game Events

General Season Performance

HomeMetricAway
12Games played13
12Points18
1.0Points per Game (PPG)1.38
4Wins5
8Losses5
0 OT/PS Wins 0
0 OT/PS Losses 3
7.17Goals per Game (GPG)6.08
8.75Goals Against per Game (GA/G)6.0
-1.58Goal Difference per Game (GD/G)0.08
1.40Penalties per Game (Pen/G)2.20
0.60Penalty Kill Goals Against per Game (PK GA/G)0.80

Last 5 Form

HomeMetricAway
L W L L L Last 5 games W L L L W
0.60Points per Game (PPG)1.40
-3.20Goal Difference per Game (GD/G)-0.80

Home vs Away Strength

HomeMetricAway
0.75Points per Game (PPG)1.17
-1.0Goal Difference per Game (GD/G)-1.0
57.14Power Play % vs Away Penalty Kill % (PP% vs PK%)63.64
57.14Penalty Kill % vs Away Power Play % (PK% vs PP%)50.0