Latvia 25/26 Regular Season Final Sat 29 Nov 2025 193 spectators
P1 2:1 P2 7:1 P3 4:4

Pre-game win probability

80% Rubene
vs
20% Ķekava/RB&B

Chance to win the game, overtime and penalty shots included, from the Elo power ratings before the game (Rubene 1732, Ķekava/RB&B 1532) with home advantage. How it works

Game story

More dramatic than 15% of this season's games
Rubene 05:24 1:0 Mikus Edvards Ķikuts12:24 2:0 Pavel Semenov18:31 2:1 (Rubene) bumbiņa savos vārtos21:03 3:1 Matīss Celms23:42 4:1 Jēkabs Keišs24:52 5:1 Kristers Babris29:33 6:1 Matīss Celms33:58 6:2 Renārs Vaļuks34:38 7:2 Kārlis Bitmanis35:25 8:2 Kārlis Dūmiņš35:57 9:2 Ingars Matisons42:31 10:2 Kristers Babris43:16 10:3 Patriks Bliska43:29 10:4 Valters Priede46:36 11:4 Kārlis Bitmanis49:57 11:5 Patriks Zvejnieks54:05 12:5 Matīss Celms57:01 12:6 Ričards Orste58:42 13:6 Mikus Edvards Ķikuts Ķekava/RB&B
Lead changes
0
Ties
0
Largest lead
8 Rubene
Comeback
–

Key moments

  1. 05:24 1:0 Mikus Edvards Ķikuts (Rubene) Rubene's win chance 82% → 88%
  2. 18:31 2:1 (Rubene) bumbiņa savos vārtos (Ķekava/RB&B) Ķekava/RB&B's win chance 8% → 14%
  3. 21:03 3:1 Matīss Celms (Rubene) Rubene's win chance 86% → 92%

The line shows Rubene's chance to win (top) against Ķekava/RB&B's (bottom) through the game, from the pre-game ratings, the score and the time left. Dots are goals, bars under the chart penalties. How it works

Stat Guide

Quick explanation of the game and pre-game metrics shown below.

  • Power play efficiency: How often a team scores while playing with a man advantage.
  • Penalty kill efficiency: How often a team prevents goals while shorthanded.
  • PPG: Points per game in the selected sample.
  • GPG / GA/G: Goals scored / conceded per game.
  • GD/G: Goal difference per game (scored minus conceded).
  • OT/PS Wins/Losses: Overtime or shootout outcomes (close-game execution).
  • Last 5 Form: Most recent five games (`W`, `L`, `D`, including OT variants).
  • Win probability: Chance to win from the Elo power ratings of both teams before the game, home advantage, overtime and penalty shots included.
  • Game winner / Clutch / Overtime: Labels in the game events. The game winner gave the winner one more goal than the loser's final total; a clutch goal tied the game or gave the lead in the last ten minutes.

Power play efficiency

66.67 / 0.0

Penalty kill efficiency

100.0 / 33.33

Penalties

4 / 3

Points in close games (≤2 goals)

0 / 0

Shootout W/L

0-0 / 0-0

Special Teams

HomeMetricAway
3Power plays5
2Power play goals0
5Penalty kills3
0Goals against on PK2

Game Flow

HomeMetricAway
1Take the Lead0
0Equalizers0
1First goal0
0Close game won0
0Close game lost0

Penalties

HomeTypeAway
32 minutes3
12+2 minutes0
010 minutes0
0Match penalty0

Goals per period

Game Events

General Season Performance

HomeMetricAway
13Games played13
35Points18
2.69Points per Game (PPG)1.38
11Wins5
1Losses6
1 OT/PS Wins 1
0 OT/PS Losses 1
8.62Goals per Game (GPG)6.23
4.69Goals Against per Game (GA/G)5.77
3.92Goal Difference per Game (GD/G)0.46
2.80Penalties per Game (Pen/G)2.40
0.60Penalty Kill Goals Against per Game (PK GA/G)0.80

Last 5 Form

HomeMetricAway
W W W W W Last 5 games L W W L W
3.0Points per Game (PPG)1.80
4.40Goal Difference per Game (GD/G)1.80

Home vs Away Strength

HomeMetricAway
2.33Points per Game (PPG)1.17
4.17Goal Difference per Game (GD/G)-0.50
46.67Power Play % vs Away Penalty Kill % (PP% vs PK%)60.0
76.92Penalty Kill % vs Away Power Play % (PK% vs PP%)66.67