Latvia 25/26 Regular Season Final Tue 02 Dec 2025 86 spectators
P1 2:3 P2 0:1 P3 3:1

Pre-game win probability

Upset · winner had 14%
14% FBK SĀC
vs
86% Masters Ulbroka/LU

Chance to win the game, overtime and penalty shots included, from the Elo power ratings before the game (FBK SĀC 1397, Masters Ulbroka/LU 1762) with home advantage. How it works

Game story

More dramatic than 73% of this season's games
FBK SĀC 03:28 0:1 Jurģis Patriks Aizupietis07:12 1:1 Kevins Šmits13:47 1:2 Emīls Jančevskis14:24 1:3 Renārs Liepiņš19:01 2:3 Kevins Šmits22:33 2:4 Edijs Šenbergs40:11 3:4 Kevins Šmits44:25 3:5 Krišjānis Tiltiņš56:52 4:5 Kevins Šmits59:15 5:5 Tomass Kristofers Birstiņš Masters Ulbroka/LU
Lead changes
0
Ties
2
Largest lead
2 Masters Ulbroka/LU
Comeback
2 goals down

Key moments

  1. 40:11 3:4 Kevins Šmits (FBK SĀC) FBK SĀC's win chance 6% → 12%
  2. 44:25 3:5 Krišjānis Tiltiņš (Masters Ulbroka/LU) Masters Ulbroka/LU's win chance 88% → 95%
  3. 59:15 5:5 Tomass Kristofers Birstiņš (FBK SĀC) FBK SĀC's win chance 4% → 32%

The line shows FBK SĀC's chance to win (top) against Masters Ulbroka/LU's (bottom) through the game, from the pre-game ratings, the score and the time left. Dots are goals, bars under the chart penalties. How it works

Stat Guide

Quick explanation of the game and pre-game metrics shown below.

  • Power play efficiency: How often a team scores while playing with a man advantage.
  • Penalty kill efficiency: How often a team prevents goals while shorthanded.
  • PPG: Points per game in the selected sample.
  • GPG / GA/G: Goals scored / conceded per game.
  • GD/G: Goal difference per game (scored minus conceded).
  • OT/PS Wins/Losses: Overtime or shootout outcomes (close-game execution).
  • Last 5 Form: Most recent five games (`W`, `L`, `D`, including OT variants).
  • Win probability: Chance to win from the Elo power ratings of both teams before the game, home advantage, overtime and penalty shots included.
  • Game winner / Clutch / Overtime: Labels in the game events. The game winner gave the winner one more goal than the loser's final total; a clutch goal tied the game or gave the lead in the last ten minutes.

Power play efficiency

100.0 / 66.67

Penalty kill efficiency

33.33 / 0.0

Penalties

3 / 1

Points in close games (≤2 goals)

3 / 0

Shootout W/L

0-0 / 0-0

Special Teams

HomeMetricAway
1Power plays3
1Power play goals2
3Penalty kills1
2Goals against on PK1

Game Flow

HomeMetricAway
1Take the Lead3
3Equalizers0
0First goal1
1Close game won0
0Close game lost1

Penalties

HomeTypeAway
32 minutes1
02+2 minutes0
010 minutes0
0Match penalty0

Goals per period

Game Events

General Season Performance

HomeMetricAway
13Games played14
14Points41
1.08Points per Game (PPG)2.93
4Wins13
8Losses0
1 OT/PS Wins 1
0 OT/PS Losses 0
7.08Goals per Game (GPG)7.50
8.46Goals Against per Game (GA/G)4.14
-1.38Goal Difference per Game (GD/G)3.36
1.20Penalties per Game (Pen/G)2.0
0.60Penalty Kill Goals Against per Game (PK GA/G)0.20

Last 5 Form

HomeMetricAway
W L L L W Last 5 games W W W W W
1.0Points per Game (PPG)3.0
-1.20Goal Difference per Game (GD/G)3.0

Home vs Away Strength

HomeMetricAway
1.0Points per Game (PPG)3.0
-0.60Goal Difference per Game (GD/G)4.33
57.14Power Play % vs Away Penalty Kill % (PP% vs PK%)87.50
50.0Penalty Kill % vs Away Power Play % (PK% vs PP%)55.56