Latvia 25/26 Regular Season Final Thu 04 Dec 2025 179 spectators
P1 1:2 P2 2:0 P3 3:1

Pre-game win probability

Upset · winner had 28%
28% Lielvārde/Unihoc
vs
72% Ķekava/RB&B

Chance to win the game, overtime and penalty shots included, from the Elo power ratings before the game (Lielvārde/Unihoc 1306, Ķekava/RB&B 1512) with home advantage. How it works

Game story

More dramatic than 60% of this season's games
Lielvārde/Unihoc 04:44 0:1 Ričards Orste08:59 1:1 Sandris Virsnītis18:45 1:2 Svens Balodis23:21 2:2 Gvido Grjunbergs35:47 3:2 Mārtiņš Lejnieks49:55 4:2 Aivis Kusiņš55:08 5:2 Renārs Hugo Bļass57:05 5:3 Reinis Melgailis58:45 6:3 Ralfs Fricsons Ķekava/RB&B
Lead changes
1
Ties
2
Largest lead
3 Lielvārde/Unihoc
Comeback
1 goals down

Key moments

  1. 23:21 2:2 Gvido Grjunbergs (Lielvārde/Unihoc) Lielvārde/Unihoc's win chance 20% → 31%
  2. 35:47 3:2 Mārtiņš Lejnieks (Lielvārde/Unihoc) Lielvārde/Unihoc's win chance 34% → 52%
  3. 49:55 4:2 Aivis Kusiņš (Lielvārde/Unihoc) Lielvārde/Unihoc's win chance 65% → 85%

The line shows Lielvārde/Unihoc's chance to win (top) against Ķekava/RB&B's (bottom) through the game, from the pre-game ratings, the score and the time left. Dots are goals, bars under the chart penalties. How it works

Stat Guide

Quick explanation of the game and pre-game metrics shown below.

  • Power play efficiency: How often a team scores while playing with a man advantage.
  • Penalty kill efficiency: How often a team prevents goals while shorthanded.
  • PPG: Points per game in the selected sample.
  • GPG / GA/G: Goals scored / conceded per game.
  • GD/G: Goal difference per game (scored minus conceded).
  • OT/PS Wins/Losses: Overtime or shootout outcomes (close-game execution).
  • Last 5 Form: Most recent five games (`W`, `L`, `D`, including OT variants).
  • Win probability: Chance to win from the Elo power ratings of both teams before the game, home advantage, overtime and penalty shots included.
  • Game winner / Clutch / Overtime: Labels in the game events. The game winner gave the winner one more goal than the loser's final total; a clutch goal tied the game or gave the lead in the last ten minutes.

Power play efficiency

25.0 / 0.0

Penalty kill efficiency

100.0 / 75.0

Penalties

3 / 4

Points in close games (≤2 goals)

0 / 0

Shootout W/L

0-0 / 0-0

Special Teams

HomeMetricAway
4Power plays2
1Power play goals0
2Penalty kills4
0Goals against on PK1

Game Flow

HomeMetricAway
1Take the Lead2
2Equalizers0
0First goal1
0Close game won0
0Close game lost0

Penalties

HomeTypeAway
32 minutes3
02+2 minutes1
010 minutes0
0Match penalty0

Goals per period

Game Events

General Season Performance

HomeMetricAway
13Games played14
9Points18
0.69Points per Game (PPG)1.29
2Wins5
9Losses7
1 OT/PS Wins 1
1 OT/PS Losses 1
4.31Goals per Game (GPG)6.21
6.31Goals Against per Game (GA/G)6.29
-2.0Goal Difference per Game (GD/G)-0.07
2.40Penalties per Game (Pen/G)2.80
1.20Penalty Kill Goals Against per Game (PK GA/G)1.20

Last 5 Form

HomeMetricAway
L L L L L Last 5 games W W L W L
0.20Points per Game (PPG)1.80
-4.0Goal Difference per Game (GD/G)0.80

Home vs Away Strength

HomeMetricAway
0.43Points per Game (PPG)1.0
-2.71Goal Difference per Game (GD/G)-1.43
12.50Power Play % vs Away Penalty Kill % (PP% vs PK%)50.0
40.0Penalty Kill % vs Away Power Play % (PK% vs PP%)45.45