Latvia 25/26 Regular Season Final Wed 03 Dec 2025 342 spectators
P1 5:2 P2 1:1 P3 3:1

Pre-game win probability

85% Rubene
vs
15% FBK Valmiera

Chance to win the game, overtime and penalty shots included, from the Elo power ratings before the game (Rubene 1752, FBK Valmiera 1495) with home advantage. How it works

Game story

More dramatic than 29% of this season's games
Rubene 02:24 1:0 Kārlis Dūmiņš09:46 1:1 Ralfs Klodžs10:49 1:2 Mārtiņš Broks15:40 2:2 Matīss Celms17:41 3:2 Gustavs Siliņš18:13 4:2 Artis Matīss Fogels18:39 5:2 Rihards Avots29:45 5:3 Markuss Eduards Pazāns36:20 6:3 Gustavs Siliņš41:24 7:3 Matīss Celms49:18 8:3 Ingars Matisons50:51 8:4 Gvido Lauga51:05 9:4 Kārlis Dūmiņš FBK Valmiera
Lead changes
2
Ties
2
Largest lead
5 Rubene
Comeback
1 goals down

Key moments

  1. 10:49 1:2 Mārtiņš Broks (FBK Valmiera) FBK Valmiera's win chance 15% → 23%
  2. 15:40 2:2 Matīss Celms (Rubene) Rubene's win chance 75% → 84%
  3. 17:41 3:2 Gustavs Siliņš (Rubene) Rubene's win chance 83% → 90%

The line shows Rubene's chance to win (top) against FBK Valmiera's (bottom) through the game, from the pre-game ratings, the score and the time left. Dots are goals, bars under the chart penalties. How it works

Stat Guide

Quick explanation of the game and pre-game metrics shown below.

  • Power play efficiency: How often a team scores while playing with a man advantage.
  • Penalty kill efficiency: How often a team prevents goals while shorthanded.
  • PPG: Points per game in the selected sample.
  • GPG / GA/G: Goals scored / conceded per game.
  • GD/G: Goal difference per game (scored minus conceded).
  • OT/PS Wins/Losses: Overtime or shootout outcomes (close-game execution).
  • Last 5 Form: Most recent five games (`W`, `L`, `D`, including OT variants).
  • Win probability: Chance to win from the Elo power ratings of both teams before the game, home advantage, overtime and penalty shots included.
  • Game winner / Clutch / Overtime: Labels in the game events. The game winner gave the winner one more goal than the loser's final total; a clutch goal tied the game or gave the lead in the last ten minutes.

Power play efficiency

33.33 / 33.33

Penalty kill efficiency

66.67 / 66.67

Penalties

3 / 3

Points in close games (≤2 goals)

0 / 0

Shootout W/L

0-0 / 0-0

Special Teams

HomeMetricAway
3Power plays3
1Power play goals1
3Penalty kills3
1Goals against on PK1

Game Flow

HomeMetricAway
2Take the Lead1
1Equalizers1
1First goal0
0Close game won0
0Close game lost0

Penalties

HomeTypeAway
32 minutes2
02+2 minutes0
010 minutes1
0Match penalty0

Goals per period

Game Events

General Season Performance

HomeMetricAway
14Games played14
38Points19
2.71Points per Game (PPG)1.36
12Wins5
1Losses5
1 OT/PS Wins 0
0 OT/PS Losses 4
8.93Goals per Game (GPG)6.0
4.79Goals Against per Game (GA/G)6.0
4.14Goal Difference per Game (GD/G)0.0
3.20Penalties per Game (Pen/G)1.80
0.40Penalty Kill Goals Against per Game (PK GA/G)0.60

Last 5 Form

HomeMetricAway
W W W W W Last 5 games L L L W L
3.0Points per Game (PPG)1.0
5.60Goal Difference per Game (GD/G)-1.60

Home vs Away Strength

HomeMetricAway
2.43Points per Game (PPG)1.14
4.57Goal Difference per Game (GD/G)-1.0
56.25Power Play % vs Away Penalty Kill % (PP% vs PK%)66.67
87.50Penalty Kill % vs Away Power Play % (PK% vs PP%)57.14