Latvia 25/26 Regular Season Final Sat 06 Dec 2025 106 spectators
P1 1:4 P2 3:4 P3 2:3

Pre-game win probability

17% Bauska
vs
83% Talsu NSS/Krauzers

Chance to win the game, overtime and penalty shots included, from the Elo power ratings before the game (Bauska 1301, Talsu NSS/Krauzers 1623) with home advantage. How it works

Game story

More dramatic than 22% of this season's games
Bauska 03:59 0:1 Klāvs Vītols10:00 0:2 Jānis Ragovskis11:45 0:3 Jānis Ragovskis13:55 0:4 Linards Putniņš18:55 1:4 Markuss Kaņeps20:03 2:4 Matīss Dulbe23:43 3:4 Matīss Dulbe24:07 3:5 Jānis Ragovskis27:35 3:6 Ralfs Polis28:29 3:7 Jānis Ragovskis30:31 4:7 Jānis Plāte34:51 4:8 Adrians Spunde43:11 5:8 Matīss Dulbe44:45 5:9 Dilans Kronentāls48:39 5:10 Klāvs Vītols55:39 6:10 Ralfs Akmentiņš58:32 6:11 Adrians Spunde Talsu NSS/Krauzers
Lead changes
0
Ties
0
Largest lead
5 Talsu NSS/Krauzers
Comeback
–

Key moments

  1. 03:59 0:1 Klāvs Vītols (Talsu NSS/Krauzers) Talsu NSS/Krauzers's win chance 85% → 90%
  2. 23:43 3:4 Matīss Dulbe (Bauska) Bauska's win chance 7% → 12%
  3. 24:07 3:5 Jānis Ragovskis (Talsu NSS/Krauzers) Talsu NSS/Krauzers's win chance 88% → 93%

The line shows Bauska's chance to win (top) against Talsu NSS/Krauzers's (bottom) through the game, from the pre-game ratings, the score and the time left. Dots are goals, bars under the chart penalties. How it works

Stat Guide

Quick explanation of the game and pre-game metrics shown below.

  • Power play efficiency: How often a team scores while playing with a man advantage.
  • Penalty kill efficiency: How often a team prevents goals while shorthanded.
  • PPG: Points per game in the selected sample.
  • GPG / GA/G: Goals scored / conceded per game.
  • GD/G: Goal difference per game (scored minus conceded).
  • OT/PS Wins/Losses: Overtime or shootout outcomes (close-game execution).
  • Last 5 Form: Most recent five games (`W`, `L`, `D`, including OT variants).
  • Win probability: Chance to win from the Elo power ratings of both teams before the game, home advantage, overtime and penalty shots included.
  • Game winner / Clutch / Overtime: Labels in the game events. The game winner gave the winner one more goal than the loser's final total; a clutch goal tied the game or gave the lead in the last ten minutes.

Power play efficiency

0.0 / 33.33

Penalty kill efficiency

66.67 / 100.0

Penalties

2 / 1

Points in close games (≤2 goals)

0 / 0

Shootout W/L

0-0 / 0-0

Special Teams

HomeMetricAway
1Power plays3
0Power play goals1
3Penalty kills1
1Goals against on PK0

Game Flow

HomeMetricAway
0Take the Lead1
0Equalizers0
0First goal1
0Close game won0
0Close game lost0

Penalties

HomeTypeAway
12 minutes1
02+2 minutes0
010 minutes0
1Match penalty0

Goals per period

Game Events

General Season Performance

HomeMetricAway
15Games played14
9Points29
0.60Points per Game (PPG)2.07
2Wins9
11Losses4
1 OT/PS Wins 1
1 OT/PS Losses 0
5.53Goals per Game (GPG)7.36
9.80Goals Against per Game (GA/G)4.71
-4.27Goal Difference per Game (GD/G)2.64
2.80Penalties per Game (Pen/G)3.20
1.60Penalty Kill Goals Against per Game (PK GA/G)0.80

Last 5 Form

HomeMetricAway
L W L L W Last 5 games L W W W L
1.20Points per Game (PPG)1.80
-1.60Goal Difference per Game (GD/G)1.0

Home vs Away Strength

HomeMetricAway
0.83Points per Game (PPG)1.83
-3.0Goal Difference per Game (GD/G)1.17
33.33Power Play % vs Away Penalty Kill % (PP% vs PK%)69.23
33.33Penalty Kill % vs Away Power Play % (PK% vs PP%)40.0