Latvia 25/26 Regular Season Final Fri 05 Dec 2025 243 spectators
P1 2:1 P2 0:3 P3 2:2

Pre-game win probability

21% Ķekava/RB&B
vs
79% Masters Ulbroka/LU

Chance to win the game, overtime and penalty shots included, from the Elo power ratings before the game (Ķekava/RB&B 1452, Masters Ulbroka/LU 1723) with home advantage. How it works

Game story

More dramatic than 58% of this season's games
Ķekava/RB&B 04:04 1:0 Toms Ķeirāns11:32 2:0 Endijs Umberts Barruss14:09 2:1 Roberts Trofimenko26:28 2:2 Roberts Trofimenko30:01 2:3 Valters Lapiņš38:07 2:4 Jurģis Patriks Aizupietis42:39 2:5 Sandis Lēvalds43:25 3:5 Kārlis Degins52:45 4:5 Toms Gredzens53:04 4:6 Kristaps Reidzāns Masters Ulbroka/LU
Lead changes
1
Ties
1
Largest lead
3 Masters Ulbroka/LU
Comeback
2 goals down

Key moments

  1. 11:32 2:0 Endijs Umberts Barruss (Ķekava/RB&B) Ķekava/RB&B's win chance 32% → 44%
  2. 14:09 2:1 Roberts Trofimenko (Masters Ulbroka/LU) Masters Ulbroka/LU's win chance 54% → 67%
  3. 26:28 2:2 Roberts Trofimenko (Masters Ulbroka/LU) Masters Ulbroka/LU's win chance 60% → 74%

The line shows Ķekava/RB&B's chance to win (top) against Masters Ulbroka/LU's (bottom) through the game, from the pre-game ratings, the score and the time left. Dots are goals, bars under the chart penalties. How it works

Stat Guide

Quick explanation of the game and pre-game metrics shown below.

  • Power play efficiency: How often a team scores while playing with a man advantage.
  • Penalty kill efficiency: How often a team prevents goals while shorthanded.
  • PPG: Points per game in the selected sample.
  • GPG / GA/G: Goals scored / conceded per game.
  • GD/G: Goal difference per game (scored minus conceded).
  • OT/PS Wins/Losses: Overtime or shootout outcomes (close-game execution).
  • Last 5 Form: Most recent five games (`W`, `L`, `D`, including OT variants).
  • Win probability: Chance to win from the Elo power ratings of both teams before the game, home advantage, overtime and penalty shots included.
  • Game winner / Clutch / Overtime: Labels in the game events. The game winner gave the winner one more goal than the loser's final total; a clutch goal tied the game or gave the lead in the last ten minutes.

Power play efficiency

25.0 / 75.0

Penalty kill efficiency

25.0 / 75.0

Penalties

3 / 4

Points in close games (≤2 goals)

0 / 0

Shootout W/L

0-0 / 0-0

Special Teams

HomeMetricAway
4Power plays4
1Power play goals3
4Penalty kills4
3Goals against on PK1

Game Flow

HomeMetricAway
1Take the Lead1
0Equalizers1
1First goal0
0Close game won0
0Close game lost0

Penalties

HomeTypeAway
22 minutes4
12+2 minutes0
010 minutes0
0Match penalty0

Goals per period

Game Events

General Season Performance

HomeMetricAway
15Games played15
18Points41
1.20Points per Game (PPG)2.73
5Wins13
8Losses1
1 OT/PS Wins 1
1 OT/PS Losses 0
6.0Goals per Game (GPG)7.33
6.27Goals Against per Game (GA/G)4.27
-0.27Goal Difference per Game (GD/G)3.07
3.0Penalties per Game (Pen/G)1.80
1.40Penalty Kill Goals Against per Game (PK GA/G)0.20

Last 5 Form

HomeMetricAway
W L W L L Last 5 games W W W W L
1.20Points per Game (PPG)2.40
0.0Goal Difference per Game (GD/G)2.60

Home vs Away Strength

HomeMetricAway
1.57Points per Game (PPG)2.57
1.29Goal Difference per Game (GD/G)3.57
38.46Power Play % vs Away Penalty Kill % (PP% vs PK%)87.50
50.0Penalty Kill % vs Away Power Play % (PK% vs PP%)70.0