Latvia 25/26 Regular Season Final · OT Sat 06 Dec 2025 510 spectators
P1 2:3 P2 4:3 P3 1:1 OT 0:1

Pre-game win probability

46% FBK Valmiera
vs
54% Lekrings

Chance to win the game, overtime and penalty shots included, from the Elo power ratings before the game (FBK Valmiera 1483, Lekrings 1559) with home advantage. How it works

Game story

More dramatic than 99% of this season's games
FBK Valmiera 03:28 0:1 Olafs Zvīnis05:03 1:1 Gvido Lauga08:32 1:2 Edgars Puriņš11:08 2:2 Ričards Eglītis13:20 2:3 Ričards Dēvits26:51 3:3 Mārtiņš Broks28:57 3:4 Olafs Zvīnis31:59 3:5 Jorens Malkavs34:32 4:5 Mārtiņš Broks36:58 4:6 Bruno Beķeris37:53 5:6 Arvis Kārkliņš39:39 6:6 Ričards Eglītis40:10 6:7 Olafs Zvīnis59:47 7:7 Gvido LaugaOT 03:31 7:8 Jēkabs Berkolts Lekrings
Lead changes
0
Ties
5
Largest lead
2 Lekrings
Comeback
–

Key moments

  1. 40:10 6:7 Olafs Zvīnis (Lekrings) Lekrings's win chance 53% → 72%
  2. 59:47 7:7 Gvido Lauga (FBK Valmiera) FBK Valmiera's win chance 6% → 48%
  3. OT 03:31 7:8 Jēkabs Berkolts (Lekrings) Lekrings's win chance 52% → 100%

The line shows FBK Valmiera's chance to win (top) against Lekrings's (bottom) through the game, from the pre-game ratings, the score and the time left. Dots are goals, bars under the chart penalties. How it works

Stat Guide

Quick explanation of the game and pre-game metrics shown below.

  • Power play efficiency: How often a team scores while playing with a man advantage.
  • Penalty kill efficiency: How often a team prevents goals while shorthanded.
  • PPG: Points per game in the selected sample.
  • GPG / GA/G: Goals scored / conceded per game.
  • GD/G: Goal difference per game (scored minus conceded).
  • OT/PS Wins/Losses: Overtime or shootout outcomes (close-game execution).
  • Last 5 Form: Most recent five games (`W`, `L`, `D`, including OT variants).
  • Win probability: Chance to win from the Elo power ratings of both teams before the game, home advantage, overtime and penalty shots included.
  • Game winner / Clutch / Overtime: Labels in the game events. The game winner gave the winner one more goal than the loser's final total; a clutch goal tied the game or gave the lead in the last ten minutes.

Power play efficiency

100.0 / 66.67

Penalty kill efficiency

33.33 / 0.0

Penalties

2 / 1

Points in close games (≤2 goals)

1 / 2

Shootout W/L

0-0 / 0-0

Special Teams

HomeMetricAway
1Power plays3
1Power play goals2
3Penalty kills1
2Goals against on PK1

Game Flow

HomeMetricAway
0Take the Lead6
5Equalizers0
0First goal1
0Close game won1
1Close game lost0

Penalties

HomeTypeAway
12 minutes1
12+2 minutes0
010 minutes0
0Match penalty0

Goals per period

Game Events

General Season Performance

HomeMetricAway
15Games played15
19Points25
1.27Points per Game (PPG)1.67
5Wins8
6Losses6
0 OT/PS Wins 0
4 OT/PS Losses 1
5.93Goals per Game (GPG)5.53
6.20Goals Against per Game (GA/G)5.40
-0.27Goal Difference per Game (GD/G)0.13
2.20Penalties per Game (Pen/G)2.20
0.80Penalty Kill Goals Against per Game (PK GA/G)1.40

Last 5 Form

HomeMetricAway
L L W L L Last 5 games L L W W W
0.80Points per Game (PPG)1.80
-2.20Goal Difference per Game (GD/G)0.20

Home vs Away Strength

HomeMetricAway
1.57Points per Game (PPG)1.43
1.0Goal Difference per Game (GD/G)-0.14
37.50Power Play % vs Away Penalty Kill % (PP% vs PK%)36.36
63.64Penalty Kill % vs Away Power Play % (PK% vs PP%)21.43