Latvia 25/26 Regular Season Final Fri 05 Dec 2025 80 spectators
FBK SĀC Home
7:9
Bauska Away
P1 1:2 P2 2:4 P3 4:3

Pre-game win probability

Upset · winner had 21%
79% FBK SĀC
vs
21% Bauska

Chance to win the game, overtime and penalty shots included, from the Elo power ratings before the game (FBK SĀC 1436, Bauska 1246) with home advantage. How it works

Game story

More dramatic than 86% of this season's games
FBK SĀC 03:59 0:1 Matīss Dulbe10:00 0:2 Ralfs Akmentiņš15:39 1:2 Tomass Kristofers Birstiņš21:00 1:3 Ralfs Akmentiņš22:46 2:3 Kristers Orlovs23:56 2:4 Niks Daniels Bosakovs25:30 2:5 Ralfs Akmentiņš28:14 3:5 Ralfs Celmiņš36:59 3:6 Matīss Dulbe40:53 3:7 Niks Daniels Bosakovs44:55 4:7 Niks Nagliņš50:08 4:8 Niks Daniels Bosakovs51:02 5:8 Kristers Orlovs54:22 6:8 Kevins Šmits56:25 6:9 Niks Daniels Bosakovs58:52 7:9 Kevins Šmits Bauska
Lead changes
0
Ties
0
Largest lead
4 Bauska
Comeback
–

Key moments

  1. 23:56 2:4 Niks Daniels Bosakovs (Bauska) Bauska's win chance 37% → 52%
  2. 28:14 3:5 Ralfs Celmiņš (FBK SĀC) FBK SĀC's win chance 29% → 44%
  3. 36:59 3:6 Matīss Dulbe (Bauska) Bauska's win chance 64% → 79%

The line shows FBK SĀC's chance to win (top) against Bauska's (bottom) through the game, from the pre-game ratings, the score and the time left. Dots are goals, bars under the chart penalties. How it works

Stat Guide

Quick explanation of the game and pre-game metrics shown below.

  • Power play efficiency: How often a team scores while playing with a man advantage.
  • Penalty kill efficiency: How often a team prevents goals while shorthanded.
  • PPG: Points per game in the selected sample.
  • GPG / GA/G: Goals scored / conceded per game.
  • GD/G: Goal difference per game (scored minus conceded).
  • OT/PS Wins/Losses: Overtime or shootout outcomes (close-game execution).
  • Last 5 Form: Most recent five games (`W`, `L`, `D`, including OT variants).
  • Win probability: Chance to win from the Elo power ratings of both teams before the game, home advantage, overtime and penalty shots included.
  • Game winner / Clutch / Overtime: Labels in the game events. The game winner gave the winner one more goal than the loser's final total; a clutch goal tied the game or gave the lead in the last ten minutes.

Power play efficiency

50.0 / 0.0

Penalty kill efficiency

100.0 / 50.0

Penalties

1 / 4

Points in close games (≤2 goals)

0 / 0

Shootout W/L

0-0 / 0-0

Special Teams

HomeMetricAway
4Power plays1
2Power play goals0
1Penalty kills4
0Goals against on PK2

Game Flow

HomeMetricAway
0Take the Lead1
0Equalizers0
0First goal1
0Close game won0
0Close game lost0

Penalties

HomeTypeAway
12 minutes4
02+2 minutes0
010 minutes0
0Match penalty0

Goals per period

Game Events

General Season Performance

HomeMetricAway
14Games played14
17Points6
1.21Points per Game (PPG)0.43
5Wins1
8Losses11
1 OT/PS Wins 1
0 OT/PS Losses 1
7.0Goals per Game (GPG)5.29
8.21Goals Against per Game (GA/G)10.0
-1.21Goal Difference per Game (GD/G)-4.71
1.20Penalties per Game (Pen/G)2.40
0.80Penalty Kill Goals Against per Game (PK GA/G)1.40

Last 5 Form

HomeMetricAway
L L L W W Last 5 games L L W L L
1.0Points per Game (PPG)0.60
-1.60Goal Difference per Game (GD/G)-3.20

Home vs Away Strength

HomeMetricAway
1.33Points per Game (PPG)0.12
-0.33Goal Difference per Game (GD/G)-6.0
80.0Power Play % vs Away Penalty Kill % (PP% vs PK%)30.0
33.33Penalty Kill % vs Away Power Play % (PK% vs PP%)33.33