Latvia 25/26 Regular Season Final Sun 21 Dec 2025 502 spectators
P1 0:1 P2 1:1 P3 3:3

Pre-game win probability

57% FBK Valmiera
vs
43% Ķekava/RB&B

Chance to win the game, overtime and penalty shots included, from the Elo power ratings before the game (FBK Valmiera 1461, Ķekava/RB&B 1460) with home advantage. How it works

Game story

More dramatic than 91% of this season's games
FBK Valmiera 02:04 0:1 Patriks Zvejnieks31:31 1:1 Gvido Lauga39:07 1:2 Toms Ķeirāns42:51 1:3 Endijs Umberts Barruss44:07 1:4 Rūdolfs Dilbergs45:30 1:5 Kārlis Degins51:09 2:5 Markuss Strazdiņš-Stradiņš51:31 3:5 Artūrs Bergs55:57 4:5 Artūrs Bergs Ķekava/RB&B
Lead changes
0
Ties
1
Largest lead
4 Ķekava/RB&B
Comeback
4 goals down

Key moments

  1. 31:31 1:1 Gvido Lauga (FBK Valmiera) FBK Valmiera's win chance 38% → 55%
  2. 39:07 1:2 Toms Ķeirāns (Ķekava/RB&B) Ķekava/RB&B's win chance 46% → 65%
  3. 42:51 1:3 Endijs Umberts Barruss (Ķekava/RB&B) Ķekava/RB&B's win chance 67% → 83%

The line shows FBK Valmiera's chance to win (top) against Ķekava/RB&B's (bottom) through the game, from the pre-game ratings, the score and the time left. Dots are goals, bars under the chart penalties. How it works

Stat Guide

Quick explanation of the game and pre-game metrics shown below.

  • Power play efficiency: How often a team scores while playing with a man advantage.
  • Penalty kill efficiency: How often a team prevents goals while shorthanded.
  • PPG: Points per game in the selected sample.
  • GPG / GA/G: Goals scored / conceded per game.
  • GD/G: Goal difference per game (scored minus conceded).
  • OT/PS Wins/Losses: Overtime or shootout outcomes (close-game execution).
  • Last 5 Form: Most recent five games (`W`, `L`, `D`, including OT variants).
  • Win probability: Chance to win from the Elo power ratings of both teams before the game, home advantage, overtime and penalty shots included.
  • Game winner / Clutch / Overtime: Labels in the game events. The game winner gave the winner one more goal than the loser's final total; a clutch goal tied the game or gave the lead in the last ten minutes.

Power play efficiency

0.0 / 0.0

Penalty kill efficiency

100.0 / 100.0

Penalties

2 / 1

Points in close games (≤2 goals)

0 / 0

Shootout W/L

0-0 / 0-0

Special Teams

HomeMetricAway
1Power plays2
0Power play goals0
2Penalty kills1
0Goals against on PK0

Game Flow

HomeMetricAway
1Take the Lead2
1Equalizers1
0First goal1
0Close game won0
0Close game lost0

Penalties

HomeTypeAway
22 minutes1
02+2 minutes0
010 minutes0
0Match penalty0

Goals per period

Game Events

General Season Performance

HomeMetricAway
18Games played18
23Points21
1.28Points per Game (PPG)1.17
6Wins6
7Losses10
0 OT/PS Wins 1
5 OT/PS Losses 1
6.06Goals per Game (GPG)6.0
6.17Goals Against per Game (GA/G)6.17
-0.11Goal Difference per Game (GD/G)-0.17
1.20Penalties per Game (Pen/G)3.0
0.80Penalty Kill Goals Against per Game (PK GA/G)2.20

Last 5 Form

HomeMetricAway
L L L W L Last 5 games L L L W L
1.0Points per Game (PPG)0.60
-0.60Goal Difference per Game (GD/G)-1.80

Home vs Away Strength

HomeMetricAway
1.50Points per Game (PPG)0.88
0.75Goal Difference per Game (GD/G)-1.62
62.50Power Play % vs Away Penalty Kill % (PP% vs PK%)31.25
42.86Penalty Kill % vs Away Power Play % (PK% vs PP%)22.22