Latvia 25/26 Regular Season Final Wed 17 Dec 2025 72 spectators
P1 3:3 P2 3:5 P3 0:3

Pre-game win probability

17% Bauska
vs
83% Lekrings

Chance to win the game, overtime and penalty shots included, from the Elo power ratings before the game (Bauska 1258, Lekrings 1583) with home advantage. How it works

Game story

More dramatic than 61% of this season's games
Bauska 03:48 0:1 Edgars Puriņš06:12 1:1 Edvards Katkovskis07:51 2:1 Markuss Kaņeps13:56 2:2 Emīls Šūmanis15:13 3:2 Pēteris Zeltiņš15:47 3:3 Edgars Puriņš23:05 3:4 Edgars Puriņš23:20 3:5 Miķelis Koknesis Roops26:48 4:5 Markuss Kaņeps31:18 5:5 Arvis Kreicbergs35:37 5:6 Jorens Malkavs36:58 5:7 Emīls Dzalbs38:13 6:7 Everts Janušauskis38:53 6:8 Jorens Štāls56:30 6:9 Jorens Malkavs58:59 6:10 Emīls Dzalbs59:48 6:11 Jorens Malkavs Lekrings
Lead changes
2
Ties
4
Largest lead
5 Lekrings
Comeback
1 goals down

Key moments

  1. 15:47 3:3 Edgars Puriņš (Lekrings) Lekrings's win chance 73% → 82%
  2. 31:18 5:5 Arvis Kreicbergs (Bauska) Bauska's win chance 13% → 23%
  3. 35:37 5:6 Jorens Malkavs (Lekrings) Lekrings's win chance 75% → 87%

The line shows Bauska's chance to win (top) against Lekrings's (bottom) through the game, from the pre-game ratings, the score and the time left. Dots are goals, bars under the chart penalties. How it works

Stat Guide

Quick explanation of the game and pre-game metrics shown below.

  • Power play efficiency: How often a team scores while playing with a man advantage.
  • Penalty kill efficiency: How often a team prevents goals while shorthanded.
  • PPG: Points per game in the selected sample.
  • GPG / GA/G: Goals scored / conceded per game.
  • GD/G: Goal difference per game (scored minus conceded).
  • OT/PS Wins/Losses: Overtime or shootout outcomes (close-game execution).
  • Last 5 Form: Most recent five games (`W`, `L`, `D`, including OT variants).
  • Win probability: Chance to win from the Elo power ratings of both teams before the game, home advantage, overtime and penalty shots included.
  • Game winner / Clutch / Overtime: Labels in the game events. The game winner gave the winner one more goal than the loser's final total; a clutch goal tied the game or gave the lead in the last ten minutes.

Power play efficiency

25.0 / 20.0

Penalty kill efficiency

80.0 / 75.0

Penalties

5 / 5

Points in close games (≤2 goals)

0 / 0

Shootout W/L

0-0 / 0-0

Special Teams

HomeMetricAway
4Power plays5
1Power play goals1
5Penalty kills4
1Goals against on PK1

Game Flow

HomeMetricAway
2Take the Lead1
1Equalizers2
0First goal1
0Close game won0
0Close game lost0

Penalties

HomeTypeAway
42 minutes4
02+2 minutes0
010 minutes0
1Match penalty1

Goals per period

Game Events

General Season Performance

HomeMetricAway
17Games played17
9Points30
0.53Points per Game (PPG)1.76
2Wins9
13Losses6
1 OT/PS Wins 1
1 OT/PS Losses 1
5.59Goals per Game (GPG)5.94
9.94Goals Against per Game (GA/G)5.41
-4.35Goal Difference per Game (GD/G)0.53
2.80Penalties per Game (Pen/G)2.0
1.80Penalty Kill Goals Against per Game (PK GA/G)1.60

Last 5 Form

HomeMetricAway
L L W L L Last 5 games W W W W W
0.60Points per Game (PPG)2.80
-3.60Goal Difference per Game (GD/G)2.40

Home vs Away Strength

HomeMetricAway
0.62Points per Game (PPG)1.50
-3.50Goal Difference per Game (GD/G)0.0
25.0Power Play % vs Away Penalty Kill % (PP% vs PK%)20.0
25.0Penalty Kill % vs Away Power Play % (PK% vs PP%)33.33