Latvia 25/26 Regular Season Final Sat 20 Dec 2025 151 spectators
P1 2:0 P2 1:1 P3 1:1

Pre-game win probability

Upset · winner had 28%
28% FK Irlava/I.S.A.M.
vs
72% FBK Valmiera

Chance to win the game, overtime and penalty shots included, from the Elo power ratings before the game (FK Irlava/I.S.A.M. 1300, FBK Valmiera 1509) with home advantage. How it works

Game story

More dramatic than 71% of this season's games
FK Irlava/I.S.A.M. 09:25 1:0 Renārs Stančiks11:30 2:0 Mareks Stančiks24:14 2:1 Arvis Kārkliņš39:50 3:1 Kaspars Klamers48:28 3:2 Gvido Lauga57:51 4:2 Renārs Stančiks FBK Valmiera
Lead changes
0
Ties
0
Largest lead
2 FK Irlava/I.S.A.M.
Comeback
–

Key moments

  1. 24:14 2:1 Arvis Kārkliņš (FBK Valmiera) FBK Valmiera's win chance 39% → 54%
  2. 39:50 3:1 Kaspars Klamers (FK Irlava/I.S.A.M.) FK Irlava/I.S.A.M.'s win chance 55% → 73%
  3. 48:28 3:2 Gvido Lauga (FBK Valmiera) FBK Valmiera's win chance 17% → 37%

The line shows FK Irlava/I.S.A.M.'s chance to win (top) against FBK Valmiera's (bottom) through the game, from the pre-game ratings, the score and the time left. Dots are goals, bars under the chart penalties. How it works

Stat Guide

Quick explanation of the game and pre-game metrics shown below.

  • Power play efficiency: How often a team scores while playing with a man advantage.
  • Penalty kill efficiency: How often a team prevents goals while shorthanded.
  • PPG: Points per game in the selected sample.
  • GPG / GA/G: Goals scored / conceded per game.
  • GD/G: Goal difference per game (scored minus conceded).
  • OT/PS Wins/Losses: Overtime or shootout outcomes (close-game execution).
  • Last 5 Form: Most recent five games (`W`, `L`, `D`, including OT variants).
  • Win probability: Chance to win from the Elo power ratings of both teams before the game, home advantage, overtime and penalty shots included.
  • Game winner / Clutch / Overtime: Labels in the game events. The game winner gave the winner one more goal than the loser's final total; a clutch goal tied the game or gave the lead in the last ten minutes.

Power play efficiency

n.a. / 0.0

Penalty kill efficiency

100.0 / n.a.

Penalties

2 / 0

Points in close games (≤2 goals)

3 / 0

Shootout W/L

0-0 / 0-0

Special Teams

HomeMetricAway
0Power plays2
0Power play goals0
2Penalty kills0
0Goals against on PK0

Game Flow

HomeMetricAway
1Take the Lead0
0Equalizers0
1First goal0
1Close game won0
0Close game lost1

Penalties

HomeTypeAway
22 minutes0
02+2 minutes0
010 minutes0
0Match penalty0

Goals per period

Game Events

General Season Performance

HomeMetricAway
18Games played17
11Points23
0.61Points per Game (PPG)1.35
3Wins6
14Losses6
1 OT/PS Wins 0
0 OT/PS Losses 5
5.83Goals per Game (GPG)6.29
8.94Goals Against per Game (GA/G)6.29
-3.11Goal Difference per Game (GD/G)0.0
2.0Penalties per Game (Pen/G)2.0
0.80Penalty Kill Goals Against per Game (PK GA/G)1.20

Last 5 Form

HomeMetricAway
W L L L L Last 5 games W L L L W
0.60Points per Game (PPG)1.60
-4.20Goal Difference per Game (GD/G)0.20

Home vs Away Strength

HomeMetricAway
0.89Points per Game (PPG)1.22
-3.33Goal Difference per Game (GD/G)-0.67
40.0Power Play % vs Away Penalty Kill % (PP% vs PK%)45.45
50.0Penalty Kill % vs Away Power Play % (PK% vs PP%)85.71