Latvia 25/26 Regular Season Final Fri 19 Dec 2025 203 spectators
P1 2:2 P2 1:1 P3 1:2

Pre-game win probability

17% Ķekava/RB&B
vs
83% Rubene

Chance to win the game, overtime and penalty shots included, from the Elo power ratings before the game (Ķekava/RB&B 1466, Rubene 1791) with home advantage. How it works

Game story

More dramatic than 68% of this season's games
Ķekava/RB&B 02:14 1:0 Toms Gredzens02:34 1:1 Kārlis Bitmanis03:37 2:1 Patriks Zvejnieks10:00 2:2 Jēkabs Keišs27:04 2:3 Gustavs Siliņš29:34 3:3 Kristaps Laugalis41:52 4:3 Kārlis Degins46:54 4:4 Jēkabs Keišs49:09 4:5 Ingars Matisons Rubene
Lead changes
3
Ties
4
Largest lead
1 Ķekava/RB&B
Comeback
1 goals down

Key moments

  1. 41:52 4:3 Kārlis Degins (Ķekava/RB&B) Ķekava/RB&B's win chance 27% → 46%
  2. 46:54 4:4 Jēkabs Keišs (Rubene) Rubene's win chance 48% → 71%
  3. 49:09 4:5 Ingars Matisons (Rubene) Rubene's win chance 70% → 87%

The line shows Ķekava/RB&B's chance to win (top) against Rubene's (bottom) through the game, from the pre-game ratings, the score and the time left. Dots are goals, bars under the chart penalties. How it works

Stat Guide

Quick explanation of the game and pre-game metrics shown below.

  • Power play efficiency: How often a team scores while playing with a man advantage.
  • Penalty kill efficiency: How often a team prevents goals while shorthanded.
  • PPG: Points per game in the selected sample.
  • GPG / GA/G: Goals scored / conceded per game.
  • GD/G: Goal difference per game (scored minus conceded).
  • OT/PS Wins/Losses: Overtime or shootout outcomes (close-game execution).
  • Last 5 Form: Most recent five games (`W`, `L`, `D`, including OT variants).
  • Win probability: Chance to win from the Elo power ratings of both teams before the game, home advantage, overtime and penalty shots included.
  • Game winner / Clutch / Overtime: Labels in the game events. The game winner gave the winner one more goal than the loser's final total; a clutch goal tied the game or gave the lead in the last ten minutes.

Power play efficiency

33.33 / 100.0

Penalty kill efficiency

0.0 / 66.67

Penalties

3 / 6

Points in close games (≤2 goals)

0 / 3

Shootout W/L

0-0 / 0-0

Special Teams

HomeMetricAway
6Power plays3
2Power play goals3
3Penalty kills6
3Goals against on PK2

Game Flow

HomeMetricAway
3Take the Lead2
1Equalizers3
1First goal0
0Close game won1
1Close game lost0

Penalties

HomeTypeAway
32 minutes6
02+2 minutes0
010 minutes0
0Match penalty0

Goals per period

Game Events

General Season Performance

HomeMetricAway
17Games played17
21Points47
1.24Points per Game (PPG)2.76
6Wins15
9Losses1
1 OT/PS Wins 1
1 OT/PS Losses 0
6.12Goals per Game (GPG)8.59
6.24Goals Against per Game (GA/G)4.71
-0.12Goal Difference per Game (GD/G)3.88
3.0Penalties per Game (Pen/G)3.60
2.0Penalty Kill Goals Against per Game (PK GA/G)0.60

Last 5 Form

HomeMetricAway
W L L L W Last 5 games W W W W W
1.20Points per Game (PPG)3.0
-0.20Goal Difference per Game (GD/G)4.80

Home vs Away Strength

HomeMetricAway
1.56Points per Game (PPG)3.0
1.22Goal Difference per Game (GD/G)3.33
33.33Power Play % vs Away Penalty Kill % (PP% vs PK%)82.35
37.50Penalty Kill % vs Away Power Play % (PK% vs PP%)54.55