Latvia 25/26 Regular Season Final Sat 03 Jan 2026 162 spectators
Talsu NSS/Krauzers Home
6:3
Ķekava/RB&B Away
P1 2:2 P2 0:1 P3 4:0

Pre-game win probability

83% Talsu NSS/Krauzers
vs
17% Ķekava/RB&B

Chance to win the game, overtime and penalty shots included, from the Elo power ratings before the game (Talsu NSS/Krauzers 1677, Ķekava/RB&B 1443) with home advantage. How it works

Game story

More dramatic than 56% of this season's games
Talsu NSS/Krauzers 00:46 1:0 Dilans Kronentāls01:38 2:0 Rūdolfs Niedrājs10:05 2:1 Patriks Zvejnieks19:45 2:2 Toms Ķeirāns39:45 2:3 Endijs Umberts Barruss46:15 3:3 Toms Akmeņlauks48:06 4:3 Klāvs Vītols48:16 5:3 Jānis Škutāns59:13 6:3 Rūdolfs Niedrājs Ķekava/RB&B
Lead changes
2
Ties
2
Largest lead
3 Talsu NSS/Krauzers
Comeback
1 goals down

Key moments

  1. 39:45 2:3 Endijs Umberts Barruss (Ķekava/RB&B) Ķekava/RB&B's win chance 26% → 44%
  2. 46:15 3:3 Toms Akmeņlauks (Talsu NSS/Krauzers) Talsu NSS/Krauzers's win chance 49% → 71%
  3. 48:06 4:3 Klāvs Vītols (Talsu NSS/Krauzers) Talsu NSS/Krauzers's win chance 70% → 87%

The line shows Talsu NSS/Krauzers's chance to win (top) against Ķekava/RB&B's (bottom) through the game, from the pre-game ratings, the score and the time left. Dots are goals, bars under the chart penalties. How it works

Stat Guide

Quick explanation of the game and pre-game metrics shown below.

  • Power play efficiency: How often a team scores while playing with a man advantage.
  • Penalty kill efficiency: How often a team prevents goals while shorthanded.
  • PPG: Points per game in the selected sample.
  • GPG / GA/G: Goals scored / conceded per game.
  • GD/G: Goal difference per game (scored minus conceded).
  • OT/PS Wins/Losses: Overtime or shootout outcomes (close-game execution).
  • Last 5 Form: Most recent five games (`W`, `L`, `D`, including OT variants).
  • Win probability: Chance to win from the Elo power ratings of both teams before the game, home advantage, overtime and penalty shots included.
  • Game winner / Clutch / Overtime: Labels in the game events. The game winner gave the winner one more goal than the loser's final total; a clutch goal tied the game or gave the lead in the last ten minutes.

Power play efficiency

50.0 / 0.0

Penalty kill efficiency

100.0 / 50.0

Penalties

3 / 2

Points in close games (≤2 goals)

0 / 0

Shootout W/L

0-0 / 0-0

Special Teams

HomeMetricAway
2Power plays3
1Power play goals0
3Penalty kills2
0Goals against on PK1

Game Flow

HomeMetricAway
2Take the Lead1
1Equalizers1
1First goal0
0Close game won0
0Close game lost0

Penalties

HomeTypeAway
32 minutes2
02+2 minutes0
010 minutes0
0Match penalty0

Goals per period

Game Events

General Season Performance

HomeMetricAway
19Games played19
42Points22
2.21Points per Game (PPG)1.16
13Wins6
4Losses10
1 OT/PS Wins 1
1 OT/PS Losses 2
7.47Goals per Game (GPG)5.95
4.68Goals Against per Game (GA/G)6.16
2.79Goal Difference per Game (GD/G)-0.21
2.0Penalties per Game (Pen/G)2.60
0.20Penalty Kill Goals Against per Game (PK GA/G)1.80

Last 5 Form

HomeMetricAway
W W L W W Last 5 games L L W L L
2.60Points per Game (PPG)0.80
3.20Goal Difference per Game (GD/G)-0.60

Home vs Away Strength

HomeMetricAway
2.40Points per Game (PPG)0.89
3.60Goal Difference per Game (GD/G)-1.56
60.0Power Play % vs Away Penalty Kill % (PP% vs PK%)35.71
90.0Penalty Kill % vs Away Power Play % (PK% vs PP%)26.67