Latvia 25/26 Regular Season Final Sat 03 Jan 2026 171 spectators
P1 3:2 P2 3:0 P3 3:1

Pre-game win probability

84% FBK Valmiera
vs
16% Bauska

Chance to win the game, overtime and penalty shots included, from the Elo power ratings before the game (FBK Valmiera 1477, Bauska 1236) with home advantage. How it works

Game story

More dramatic than 13% of this season's games
FBK Valmiera 00:32 1:0 Aleksejs Jakovļevs01:43 2:0 Toms Kotāns03:11 2:1 Pēteris Zeltiņš06:43 3:1 Ričards Eglītis10:16 3:2 Pēteris Zeltiņš24:06 4:2 Ričards Eglītis33:13 5:2 Ralfs Matīss Balodis36:20 6:2 Ričards Eglītis49:50 7:2 Ričards Eglītis53:57 8:2 Markuss Eduards Pazāns55:13 9:2 Markuss Strazdiņš-Stradiņš58:18 9:3 Pēteris Zeltiņš Bauska
Lead changes
0
Ties
0
Largest lead
7 FBK Valmiera
Comeback
–

Key moments

  1. 24:06 4:2 Ričards Eglītis (FBK Valmiera) FBK Valmiera's win chance 88% → 93%

The line shows FBK Valmiera's chance to win (top) against Bauska's (bottom) through the game, from the pre-game ratings, the score and the time left. Dots are goals, bars under the chart penalties. How it works

Stat Guide

Quick explanation of the game and pre-game metrics shown below.

  • Power play efficiency: How often a team scores while playing with a man advantage.
  • Penalty kill efficiency: How often a team prevents goals while shorthanded.
  • PPG: Points per game in the selected sample.
  • GPG / GA/G: Goals scored / conceded per game.
  • GD/G: Goal difference per game (scored minus conceded).
  • OT/PS Wins/Losses: Overtime or shootout outcomes (close-game execution).
  • Last 5 Form: Most recent five games (`W`, `L`, `D`, including OT variants).
  • Win probability: Chance to win from the Elo power ratings of both teams before the game, home advantage, overtime and penalty shots included.
  • Game winner / Clutch / Overtime: Labels in the game events. The game winner gave the winner one more goal than the loser's final total; a clutch goal tied the game or gave the lead in the last ten minutes.

Power play efficiency

0.0 / 50.0

Penalty kill efficiency

50.0 / 100.0

Penalties

2 / 2

Points in close games (≤2 goals)

0 / 0

Shootout W/L

0-0 / 0-0

Special Teams

HomeMetricAway
2Power plays2
0Power play goals1
2Penalty kills2
1Goals against on PK0

Game Flow

HomeMetricAway
1Take the Lead0
0Equalizers0
1First goal0
0Close game won0
0Close game lost0

Penalties

HomeTypeAway
22 minutes2
02+2 minutes0
010 minutes0
0Match penalty0

Goals per period

Game Events

General Season Performance

HomeMetricAway
19Games played19
25Points9
1.32Points per Game (PPG)0.47
6Wins2
7Losses15
1 OT/PS Wins 1
5 OT/PS Losses 1
6.05Goals per Game (GPG)5.47
6.11Goals Against per Game (GA/G)10.53
-0.05Goal Difference per Game (GD/G)-5.05
1.40Penalties per Game (Pen/G)3.40
0.60Penalty Kill Goals Against per Game (PK GA/G)1.80

Last 5 Form

HomeMetricAway
L L W L W Last 5 games W L L L L
1.20Points per Game (PPG)0.60
-0.20Goal Difference per Game (GD/G)-6.0

Home vs Away Strength

HomeMetricAway
1.56Points per Game (PPG)0.40
0.78Goal Difference per Game (GD/G)-6.20
55.56Power Play % vs Away Penalty Kill % (PP% vs PK%)47.06
62.50Penalty Kill % vs Away Power Play % (PK% vs PP%)14.29