Latvia 25/26 Regular Season Final Fri 09 Jan 2026 555 spectators
P1 0:2 P2 0:2 P3 1:1

Pre-game win probability

Upset · winner had 28%
72% Lekrings
vs
28% FBK Valmiera

Chance to win the game, overtime and penalty shots included, from the Elo power ratings before the game (Lekrings 1607, FBK Valmiera 1492) with home advantage. How it works

Game story

More dramatic than 48% of this season's games
Lekrings 01:32 0:1 Markuss Eduards Pazāns06:40 0:2 Markuss Eduards Pazāns27:35 0:3 Ralfs Akmentiņš29:55 0:4 Ričards Eglītis45:24 1:4 Bruno Beķeris59:42 1:5 Mārtiņš Broks FBK Valmiera
Lead changes
0
Ties
0
Largest lead
4 FBK Valmiera
Comeback
–

Key moments

  1. 01:32 0:1 Markuss Eduards Pazāns (FBK Valmiera) FBK Valmiera's win chance 26% → 36%
  2. 06:40 0:2 Markuss Eduards Pazāns (FBK Valmiera) FBK Valmiera's win chance 38% → 51%
  3. 27:35 0:3 Ralfs Akmentiņš (FBK Valmiera) FBK Valmiera's win chance 63% → 77%

The line shows Lekrings's chance to win (top) against FBK Valmiera's (bottom) through the game, from the pre-game ratings, the score and the time left. Dots are goals, bars under the chart penalties. How it works

Stat Guide

Quick explanation of the game and pre-game metrics shown below.

  • Power play efficiency: How often a team scores while playing with a man advantage.
  • Penalty kill efficiency: How often a team prevents goals while shorthanded.
  • PPG: Points per game in the selected sample.
  • GPG / GA/G: Goals scored / conceded per game.
  • GD/G: Goal difference per game (scored minus conceded).
  • OT/PS Wins/Losses: Overtime or shootout outcomes (close-game execution).
  • Last 5 Form: Most recent five games (`W`, `L`, `D`, including OT variants).
  • Win probability: Chance to win from the Elo power ratings of both teams before the game, home advantage, overtime and penalty shots included.
  • Game winner / Clutch / Overtime: Labels in the game events. The game winner gave the winner one more goal than the loser's final total; a clutch goal tied the game or gave the lead in the last ten minutes.

Power play efficiency

0.0 / 20.0

Penalty kill efficiency

80.0 / 100.0

Penalties

4 / 1

Points in close games (≤2 goals)

0 / 0

Shootout W/L

0-0 / 0-0

Special Teams

HomeMetricAway
2Power plays5
0Power play goals1
5Penalty kills2
1Goals against on PK0

Game Flow

HomeMetricAway
0Take the Lead1
0Equalizers0
0First goal1
0Close game won0
0Close game lost0

Penalties

HomeTypeAway
32 minutes0
12+2 minutes1
010 minutes0
0Match penalty0

Goals per period

Game Events

General Season Performance

HomeMetricAway
20Games played20
38Points28
1.90Points per Game (PPG)1.40
11Wins7
6Losses7
2 OT/PS Wins 1
1 OT/PS Losses 5
6.35Goals per Game (GPG)6.20
5.45Goals Against per Game (GA/G)6.0
0.90Goal Difference per Game (GD/G)0.20
2.40Penalties per Game (Pen/G)1.20
1.0Penalty Kill Goals Against per Game (PK GA/G)0.60

Last 5 Form

HomeMetricAway
W W W W W Last 5 games L W L W W
2.60Points per Game (PPG)1.80
3.20Goal Difference per Game (GD/G)1.60

Home vs Away Strength

HomeMetricAway
2.0Points per Game (PPG)1.10
1.0Goal Difference per Game (GD/G)-0.80
36.36Power Play % vs Away Penalty Kill % (PP% vs PK%)57.14
58.33Penalty Kill % vs Away Power Play % (PK% vs PP%)50.0