Latvia 25/26 Regular Season Final Fri 09 Jan 2026 254 spectators
Ķekava/RB&B Home
6:4
Masters Ulbroka/LU Away
P1 2:3 P2 1:0 P3 3:1

Pre-game win probability

Upset · winner had 18%
18% Ķekava/RB&B
vs
82% Masters Ulbroka/LU

Chance to win the game, overtime and penalty shots included, from the Elo power ratings before the game (Ķekava/RB&B 1432, Masters Ulbroka/LU 1736) with home advantage. How it works

Game story

More dramatic than 57% of this season's games
Ķekava/RB&B 04:01 0:1 Niks Blumfelds09:07 0:2 Valters Lapiņš11:59 1:2 Ričards Orste13:36 1:3 Krišjānis Tiltiņš17:36 2:3 Reinis Melgailis34:59 3:3 Patriks Zvejnieks46:27 4:3 Patriks Zvejnieks53:44 5:3 Toms Gredzens55:53 6:3 Patriks Zvejnieks59:41 6:4 Krišjānis Tiltiņš Masters Ulbroka/LU
Lead changes
1
Ties
1
Largest lead
3 Ķekava/RB&B
Comeback
2 goals down

Key moments

  1. 34:59 3:3 Patriks Zvejnieks (Ķekava/RB&B) Ķekava/RB&B's win chance 14% → 26%
  2. 46:27 4:3 Patriks Zvejnieks (Ķekava/RB&B) Ķekava/RB&B's win chance 30% → 53%
  3. 53:44 5:3 Toms Gredzens (Ķekava/RB&B) Ķekava/RB&B's win chance 65% → 88%

The line shows Ķekava/RB&B's chance to win (top) against Masters Ulbroka/LU's (bottom) through the game, from the pre-game ratings, the score and the time left. Dots are goals, bars under the chart penalties. How it works

Stat Guide

Quick explanation of the game and pre-game metrics shown below.

  • Power play efficiency: How often a team scores while playing with a man advantage.
  • Penalty kill efficiency: How often a team prevents goals while shorthanded.
  • PPG: Points per game in the selected sample.
  • GPG / GA/G: Goals scored / conceded per game.
  • GD/G: Goal difference per game (scored minus conceded).
  • OT/PS Wins/Losses: Overtime or shootout outcomes (close-game execution).
  • Last 5 Form: Most recent five games (`W`, `L`, `D`, including OT variants).
  • Win probability: Chance to win from the Elo power ratings of both teams before the game, home advantage, overtime and penalty shots included.
  • Game winner / Clutch / Overtime: Labels in the game events. The game winner gave the winner one more goal than the loser's final total; a clutch goal tied the game or gave the lead in the last ten minutes.

Power play efficiency

33.33 / 0.0

Penalty kill efficiency

100.0 / 66.67

Penalties

1 / 6

Points in close games (≤2 goals)

0 / 0

Shootout W/L

0-0 / 0-0

Special Teams

HomeMetricAway
6Power plays1
2Power play goals0
1Penalty kills6
0Goals against on PK2

Game Flow

HomeMetricAway
1Take the Lead1
1Equalizers0
0First goal1
0Close game won0
0Close game lost0

Penalties

HomeTypeAway
12 minutes6
02+2 minutes0
010 minutes0
0Match penalty0

Goals per period

Game Events

General Season Performance

HomeMetricAway
20Games played19
22Points50
1.10Points per Game (PPG)2.63
6Wins16
11Losses2
1 OT/PS Wins 1
2 OT/PS Losses 0
5.80Goals per Game (GPG)8.11
6.15Goals Against per Game (GA/G)3.95
-0.35Goal Difference per Game (GD/G)4.16
2.20Penalties per Game (Pen/G)2.20
1.80Penalty Kill Goals Against per Game (PK GA/G)0.60

Last 5 Form

HomeMetricAway
L W L L L Last 5 games L W L W W
0.80Points per Game (PPG)1.80
-0.60Goal Difference per Game (GD/G)6.40

Home vs Away Strength

HomeMetricAway
1.40Points per Game (PPG)2.67
1.0Goal Difference per Game (GD/G)4.78
25.0Power Play % vs Away Penalty Kill % (PP% vs PK%)70.0
25.0Penalty Kill % vs Away Power Play % (PK% vs PP%)64.71