Latvia 25/26 Regular Season Final Sun 11 Jan 2026 315 spectators
P1 0:4 P2 4:3 P3 3:4

Pre-game win probability

40% FBK Valmiera
vs
60% Masters Ulbroka/LU

Chance to win the game, overtime and penalty shots included, from the Elo power ratings before the game (FBK Valmiera 1561, Masters Ulbroka/LU 1679) with home advantage. How it works

Game story

More dramatic than 43% of this season's games
FBK Valmiera 09:22 0:1 Renārs Liepiņš13:52 0:2 Rolands Kovaļevskis14:23 0:3 Valters Lapiņš16:19 0:4 Roberts Trofimenko24:59 1:4 Mārtiņš Broks29:10 2:4 Adrians Bukšs35:34 2:5 Roberts Trofimenko37:26 2:6 Rolands Kovaļevskis38:00 3:6 Ralfs Matīss Balodis38:09 3:7 Nikolass Burbo39:02 4:7 Georgs Māziņš44:59 4:8 Kārlis Spilbergs46:24 4:9 Roberts Trofimenko46:52 5:9 Ričards Eglītis47:31 5:10 Valters Lapiņš49:35 5:11 Rolands Kovaļevskis56:05 6:11 Mārtiņš Broks59:28 7:11 Gvido Lauga Masters Ulbroka/LU
Lead changes
0
Ties
0
Largest lead
6 Masters Ulbroka/LU
Comeback
–

Key moments

  1. 09:22 0:1 Renārs Liepiņš (Masters Ulbroka/LU) Masters Ulbroka/LU's win chance 61% → 72%
  2. 13:52 0:2 Rolands Kovaļevskis (Masters Ulbroka/LU) Masters Ulbroka/LU's win chance 72% → 82%
  3. 29:10 2:4 Adrians Bukšs (FBK Valmiera) FBK Valmiera's win chance 9% → 16%

The line shows FBK Valmiera's chance to win (top) against Masters Ulbroka/LU's (bottom) through the game, from the pre-game ratings, the score and the time left. Dots are goals, bars under the chart penalties. How it works

Stat Guide

Quick explanation of the game and pre-game metrics shown below.

  • Power play efficiency: How often a team scores while playing with a man advantage.
  • Penalty kill efficiency: How often a team prevents goals while shorthanded.
  • PPG: Points per game in the selected sample.
  • GPG / GA/G: Goals scored / conceded per game.
  • GD/G: Goal difference per game (scored minus conceded).
  • OT/PS Wins/Losses: Overtime or shootout outcomes (close-game execution).
  • Last 5 Form: Most recent five games (`W`, `L`, `D`, including OT variants).
  • Win probability: Chance to win from the Elo power ratings of both teams before the game, home advantage, overtime and penalty shots included.
  • Game winner / Clutch / Overtime: Labels in the game events. The game winner gave the winner one more goal than the loser's final total; a clutch goal tied the game or gave the lead in the last ten minutes.

Power play efficiency

100.0 / 50.0

Penalty kill efficiency

50.0 / 0.0

Penalties

2 / 1

Points in close games (≤2 goals)

0 / 0

Shootout W/L

0-0 / 0-0

Special Teams

HomeMetricAway
1Power plays2
1Power play goals1
2Penalty kills1
1Goals against on PK1

Game Flow

HomeMetricAway
0Take the Lead1
0Equalizers0
0First goal1
0Close game won0
0Close game lost0

Penalties

HomeTypeAway
22 minutes1
02+2 minutes0
010 minutes0
0Match penalty0

Goals per period

Game Events

General Season Performance

HomeMetricAway
21Games played20
31Points50
1.48Points per Game (PPG)2.50
8Wins16
7Losses3
1 OT/PS Wins 1
5 OT/PS Losses 0
6.14Goals per Game (GPG)7.90
5.76Goals Against per Game (GA/G)4.05
0.38Goal Difference per Game (GD/G)3.85
1.0Penalties per Game (Pen/G)3.20
0.20Penalty Kill Goals Against per Game (PK GA/G)0.80

Last 5 Form

HomeMetricAway
W L W W W Last 5 games W L W W L
2.20Points per Game (PPG)1.80
2.60Goal Difference per Game (GD/G)6.20

Home vs Away Strength

HomeMetricAway
1.70Points per Game (PPG)2.40
1.20Goal Difference per Game (GD/G)4.10
33.33Power Play % vs Away Penalty Kill % (PP% vs PK%)73.33
83.33Penalty Kill % vs Away Power Play % (PK% vs PP%)60.0