Latvia 25/26 Regular Season Final Fri 16 Jan 2026 68 spectators
P1 1:2 P2 3:5 P3 0:4

Pre-game win probability

10% FBK SĀC
vs
90% Masters Ulbroka/LU

Chance to win the game, overtime and penalty shots included, from the Elo power ratings before the game (FBK SĀC 1283, Masters Ulbroka/LU 1714) with home advantage. How it works

Game story

More dramatic than 30% of this season's games
FBK SĀC 03:15 1:0 Ralfs Celmiņš04:11 1:1 Kristers Leksis12:13 1:2 Krišjānis Tiltiņš20:31 1:3 Roberts Trofimenko26:30 2:3 Kevins Šmits27:36 3:3 Niks Cekarevs35:03 3:4 Kārlis Spilbergs35:20 3:5 Rolands Kovaļevskis36:22 3:6 Valters Lapiņš36:42 4:6 Kevins Šmits37:12 4:7 Rolands Kovaļevskis47:36 4:8 Roberts Trofimenko49:36 4:9 Niks Blumfelds50:20 4:10 Kristers Leksis53:45 4:11 Krišjānis Tiltiņš Masters Ulbroka/LU
Lead changes
1
Ties
2
Largest lead
7 Masters Ulbroka/LU
Comeback
1 goals down

Key moments

  1. 27:36 3:3 Niks Cekarevs (FBK SĀC) FBK SĀC's win chance 8% → 15%
  2. 35:03 3:4 Kārlis Spilbergs (Masters Ulbroka/LU) Masters Ulbroka/LU's win chance 83% → 91%

The line shows FBK SĀC's chance to win (top) against Masters Ulbroka/LU's (bottom) through the game, from the pre-game ratings, the score and the time left. Dots are goals, bars under the chart penalties. How it works

Stat Guide

Quick explanation of the game and pre-game metrics shown below.

  • Power play efficiency: How often a team scores while playing with a man advantage.
  • Penalty kill efficiency: How often a team prevents goals while shorthanded.
  • PPG: Points per game in the selected sample.
  • GPG / GA/G: Goals scored / conceded per game.
  • GD/G: Goal difference per game (scored minus conceded).
  • OT/PS Wins/Losses: Overtime or shootout outcomes (close-game execution).
  • Last 5 Form: Most recent five games (`W`, `L`, `D`, including OT variants).
  • Win probability: Chance to win from the Elo power ratings of both teams before the game, home advantage, overtime and penalty shots included.
  • Game winner / Clutch / Overtime: Labels in the game events. The game winner gave the winner one more goal than the loser's final total; a clutch goal tied the game or gave the lead in the last ten minutes.

Power play efficiency

0.0 / 60.0

Penalty kill efficiency

40.0 / 100.0

Penalties

5 / 3

Points in close games (≤2 goals)

0 / 0

Shootout W/L

0-0 / 0-0

Special Teams

HomeMetricAway
3Power plays5
0Power play goals3
5Penalty kills3
3Goals against on PK0

Game Flow

HomeMetricAway
1Take the Lead2
1Equalizers1
1First goal0
0Close game won0
0Close game lost0

Penalties

HomeTypeAway
52 minutes3
02+2 minutes0
010 minutes0
0Match penalty0

Goals per period

Game Events

General Season Performance

HomeMetricAway
22Games played21
18Points53
0.82Points per Game (PPG)2.52
5Wins17
15Losses3
1 OT/PS Wins 1
1 OT/PS Losses 0
6.23Goals per Game (GPG)8.05
8.23Goals Against per Game (GA/G)4.19
-2.0Goal Difference per Game (GD/G)3.86
1.40Penalties per Game (Pen/G)2.60
0.60Penalty Kill Goals Against per Game (PK GA/G)0.80

Last 5 Form

HomeMetricAway
L L L L L Last 5 games L W W L W
0.20Points per Game (PPG)1.80
-3.60Goal Difference per Game (GD/G)6.60

Home vs Away Strength

HomeMetricAway
0.82Points per Game (PPG)2.45
-1.82Goal Difference per Game (GD/G)4.09
18.18Power Play % vs Away Penalty Kill % (PP% vs PK%)66.67
57.14Penalty Kill % vs Away Power Play % (PK% vs PP%)53.85