Latvia 25/26 Regular Season Final Sat 17 Jan 2026 87 spectators
Bauska Home
4:12
Ķekava/RB&B Away
P1 2:3 P2 0:4 P3 1:5

Pre-game win probability

18% Bauska
vs
82% Ķekava/RB&B

Chance to win the game, overtime and penalty shots included, from the Elo power ratings before the game (Bauska 1201, Ķekava/RB&B 1515) with home advantage. How it works

Game story

More dramatic than 39% of this season's games
Bauska 02:00 1:0 Artis Černovskis04:23 2:0 Markuss Kaņeps11:56 2:1 Valters Kalnietis17:37 2:2 Ričards Orste18:06 2:3 Rūdolfs Dilbergs27:47 2:4 Toms Ķeirāns29:56 2:5 Reinis Melgailis34:59 2:6 Kārlis Degins ( 12 Endijs Umberts Barruss) )35:55 2:7 Endijs Umberts Barruss42:55 2:8 Mārtiņš Smirnovs47:08 2:9 Patriks Zvejnieks48:47 2:10 Mārtiņš Smirnovs53:55 2:11 Kristaps Laugalis55:19 3:11 Guntars Krukovskis56:52 3:12 Patriks Zvejnieks Ķekava/RB&B
Lead changes
1
Ties
1
Largest lead
9 Ķekava/RB&B
Comeback
2 goals down

Key moments

  1. 04:23 2:0 Markuss Kaņeps (Bauska) Bauska's win chance 23% → 33%
  2. 11:56 2:1 Valters Kalnietis (Ķekava/RB&B) Ķekava/RB&B's win chance 62% → 73%
  3. 17:37 2:2 Ričards Orste (Ķekava/RB&B) Ķekava/RB&B's win chance 70% → 81%

The line shows Bauska's chance to win (top) against Ķekava/RB&B's (bottom) through the game, from the pre-game ratings, the score and the time left. Dots are goals, bars under the chart penalties. How it works

Stat Guide

Quick explanation of the game and pre-game metrics shown below.

  • Power play efficiency: How often a team scores while playing with a man advantage.
  • Penalty kill efficiency: How often a team prevents goals while shorthanded.
  • PPG: Points per game in the selected sample.
  • GPG / GA/G: Goals scored / conceded per game.
  • GD/G: Goal difference per game (scored minus conceded).
  • OT/PS Wins/Losses: Overtime or shootout outcomes (close-game execution).
  • Last 5 Form: Most recent five games (`W`, `L`, `D`, including OT variants).
  • Win probability: Chance to win from the Elo power ratings of both teams before the game, home advantage, overtime and penalty shots included.
  • Game winner / Clutch / Overtime: Labels in the game events. The game winner gave the winner one more goal than the loser's final total; a clutch goal tied the game or gave the lead in the last ten minutes.

Power play efficiency

0.0 / 25.0

Penalty kill efficiency

75.0 / 100.0

Penalties

4 / 1

Points in close games (≤2 goals)

0 / 0

Shootout W/L

0-0 / 0-0

Special Teams

HomeMetricAway
1Power plays4
0Power play goals1
4Penalty kills1
1Goals against on PK0

Game Flow

HomeMetricAway
1Take the Lead1
0Equalizers1
1First goal0
0Close game won0
0Close game lost0

Penalties

HomeTypeAway
32 minutes1
02+2 minutes0
110 minutes0
0Match penalty0

Goals per period

Game Events

General Season Performance

HomeMetricAway
22Games played22
9Points28
0.41Points per Game (PPG)1.27
2Wins8
18Losses11
1 OT/PS Wins 1
1 OT/PS Losses 2
5.27Goals per Game (GPG)5.91
10.59Goals Against per Game (GA/G)5.82
-5.32Goal Difference per Game (GD/G)0.09
2.40Penalties per Game (Pen/G)1.80
0.80Penalty Kill Goals Against per Game (PK GA/G)0.80

Last 5 Form

HomeMetricAway
L L L L L Last 5 games L L L W W
0.0Points per Game (PPG)1.40
-8.60Goal Difference per Game (GD/G)0.80

Home vs Away Strength

HomeMetricAway
0.45Points per Game (PPG)0.80
-4.55Goal Difference per Game (GD/G)-1.70
33.33Power Play % vs Away Penalty Kill % (PP% vs PK%)55.56
66.67Penalty Kill % vs Away Power Play % (PK% vs PP%)31.58