Latvia 25/26 Regular Season Final Sat 24 Jan 2026 190 spectators
FBK Valmiera Home
5:9
Talsu NSS/Krauzers Away
P1 2:2 P2 3:2 P3 0:4

Pre-game win probability

20% FBK Valmiera
vs
80% Talsu NSS/Krauzers

Chance to win the game, overtime and penalty shots included, from the Elo power ratings before the game (FBK Valmiera 1465, Talsu NSS/Krauzers 1746) with home advantage. How it works

Game story

More dramatic than 77% of this season's games
FBK Valmiera 06:19 0:1 Rūdolfs Niedrājs07:12 1:1 Arvis Kārkliņš07:46 1:2 Adrians Spunde10:08 2:2 Ričards Eglītis21:43 2:3 Kārlis Laukmanis25:21 3:3 Ričards Riba33:23 4:3 Georgs Māziņš39:16 4:4 Toms Akmeņlauks39:40 5:4 Ričards Eglītis41:22 5:5 Toms Akmeņlauks51:08 5:6 Toms Akmeņlauks55:02 5:7 Jānis Ragovskis58:12 5:8 Jānis Ragovskis Talsu NSS/Krauzers
Lead changes
2
Ties
5
Largest lead
3 Talsu NSS/Krauzers
Comeback
1 goals down

Key moments

  1. 39:40 5:4 Ričards Eglītis (FBK Valmiera) FBK Valmiera's win chance 29% → 48%
  2. 41:22 5:5 Toms Akmeņlauks (Talsu NSS/Krauzers) Talsu NSS/Krauzers's win chance 50% → 70%
  3. 51:08 5:6 Toms Akmeņlauks (Talsu NSS/Krauzers) Talsu NSS/Krauzers's win chance 66% → 86%

The line shows FBK Valmiera's chance to win (top) against Talsu NSS/Krauzers's (bottom) through the game, from the pre-game ratings, the score and the time left. Dots are goals, bars under the chart penalties. How it works

Stat Guide

Quick explanation of the game and pre-game metrics shown below.

  • Power play efficiency: How often a team scores while playing with a man advantage.
  • Penalty kill efficiency: How often a team prevents goals while shorthanded.
  • PPG: Points per game in the selected sample.
  • GPG / GA/G: Goals scored / conceded per game.
  • GD/G: Goal difference per game (scored minus conceded).
  • OT/PS Wins/Losses: Overtime or shootout outcomes (close-game execution).
  • Last 5 Form: Most recent five games (`W`, `L`, `D`, including OT variants).
  • Win probability: Chance to win from the Elo power ratings of both teams before the game, home advantage, overtime and penalty shots included.
  • Game winner / Clutch / Overtime: Labels in the game events. The game winner gave the winner one more goal than the loser's final total; a clutch goal tied the game or gave the lead in the last ten minutes.

Power play efficiency

100.0 / 0.0

Penalty kill efficiency

100.0 / 0.0

Penalties

1 / 1

Points in close games (≤2 goals)

0 / 0

Shootout W/L

0-0 / 0-0

Special Teams

HomeMetricAway
1Power plays1
1Power play goals0
1Penalty kills1
0Goals against on PK1

Game Flow

HomeMetricAway
0Take the Lead4
4Equalizers0
0First goal1
0Close game won0
0Close game lost0

Penalties

HomeTypeAway
12 minutes1
02+2 minutes0
010 minutes0
0Match penalty0

Goals per period

Game Events

General Season Performance

HomeMetricAway
24Games played24
31Points56
1.29Points per Game (PPG)2.33
8Wins17
10Losses4
1 OT/PS Wins 2
5 OT/PS Losses 1
6.12Goals per Game (GPG)7.67
6.08Goals Against per Game (GA/G)4.67
0.04Goal Difference per Game (GD/G)3.0
2.0Penalties per Game (Pen/G)2.20
0.80Penalty Kill Goals Against per Game (PK GA/G)0.60

Last 5 Form

HomeMetricAway
W W L L L Last 5 games W W W W W
1.20Points per Game (PPG)2.80
0.40Goal Difference per Game (GD/G)3.80

Home vs Away Strength

HomeMetricAway
1.55Points per Game (PPG)2.18
0.73Goal Difference per Game (GD/G)2.64
27.27Power Play % vs Away Penalty Kill % (PP% vs PK%)72.73
63.64Penalty Kill % vs Away Power Play % (PK% vs PP%)60.0