Latvia 25/26 Regular Season Final Sat 24 Jan 2026 75 spectators
P1 1:3 P2 0:4 P3 3:2

Pre-game win probability

46% Bauska
vs
54% FBK SĀC

Chance to win the game, overtime and penalty shots included, from the Elo power ratings before the game (Bauska 1174, FBK SĀC 1245) with home advantage. How it works

Game story

More dramatic than 36% of this season's games
Bauska 02:36 0:1 Miks Nagliņš11:06 0:2 Tomass Kristofers Birstiņš15:48 1:2 Everts Janušauskis17:24 1:3 Ralfs Celmiņš22:25 1:4 Kristers Orlovs27:42 1:5 Ralfs Celmiņš35:36 1:6 Ralfs Stratans35:48 1:7 Ralfs Celmiņš43:57 1:8 Niks Nagliņš48:52 2:8 Artis Černovskis49:38 2:9 Ralfs Celmiņš52:10 3:9 Roberts Jakubonis58:06 4:9 Aksels Aleksandrovs FBK SĀC
Lead changes
0
Ties
0
Largest lead
7 FBK SĀC
Comeback
–

Key moments

  1. 02:36 0:1 Miks Nagliņš (FBK SĀC) FBK SĀC's win chance 54% → 66%
  2. 15:48 1:2 Everts Janušauskis (Bauska) Bauska's win chance 22% → 33%
  3. 17:24 1:3 Ralfs Celmiņš (FBK SĀC) FBK SĀC's win chance 67% → 78%

The line shows Bauska's chance to win (top) against FBK SĀC's (bottom) through the game, from the pre-game ratings, the score and the time left. Dots are goals, bars under the chart penalties. How it works

Stat Guide

Quick explanation of the game and pre-game metrics shown below.

  • Power play efficiency: How often a team scores while playing with a man advantage.
  • Penalty kill efficiency: How often a team prevents goals while shorthanded.
  • PPG: Points per game in the selected sample.
  • GPG / GA/G: Goals scored / conceded per game.
  • GD/G: Goal difference per game (scored minus conceded).
  • OT/PS Wins/Losses: Overtime or shootout outcomes (close-game execution).
  • Last 5 Form: Most recent five games (`W`, `L`, `D`, including OT variants).
  • Win probability: Chance to win from the Elo power ratings of both teams before the game, home advantage, overtime and penalty shots included.
  • Game winner / Clutch / Overtime: Labels in the game events. The game winner gave the winner one more goal than the loser's final total; a clutch goal tied the game or gave the lead in the last ten minutes.

Power play efficiency

0.0 / 0.0

Penalty kill efficiency

100.0 / 100.0

Penalties

3 / 2

Points in close games (≤2 goals)

0 / 0

Shootout W/L

0-0 / 0-0

Special Teams

HomeMetricAway
2Power plays3
0Power play goals0
3Penalty kills2
0Goals against on PK0

Game Flow

HomeMetricAway
0Take the Lead2
1Equalizers0
0First goal1
0Close game won0
0Close game lost0

Penalties

HomeTypeAway
32 minutes2
02+2 minutes0
010 minutes0
0Match penalty0

Goals per period

Game Events

General Season Performance

HomeMetricAway
24Games played24
9Points18
0.38Points per Game (PPG)0.75
2Wins5
20Losses17
1 OT/PS Wins 1
1 OT/PS Losses 1
5.25Goals per Game (GPG)6.17
10.50Goals Against per Game (GA/G)8.38
-5.25Goal Difference per Game (GD/G)-2.21
2.40Penalties per Game (Pen/G)2.20
1.0Penalty Kill Goals Against per Game (PK GA/G)1.0

Last 5 Form

HomeMetricAway
L L L L L Last 5 games L L L L L
0.0Points per Game (PPG)0.20
-6.0Goal Difference per Game (GD/G)-4.40

Home vs Away Strength

HomeMetricAway
0.42Points per Game (PPG)0.82
-4.83Goal Difference per Game (GD/G)-2.18
38.46Power Play % vs Away Penalty Kill % (PP% vs PK%)54.55
61.54Penalty Kill % vs Away Power Play % (PK% vs PP%)25.0