Latvia 25/26 Regular Season Final Wed 21 Jan 2026 205 spectators
Ķekava/RB&B Home
7:6
FBK Valmiera Away
P1 3:1 P2 2:3 P3 2:2

Pre-game win probability

64% Ķekava/RB&B
vs
36% FBK Valmiera

Chance to win the game, overtime and penalty shots included, from the Elo power ratings before the game (Ķekava/RB&B 1534, FBK Valmiera 1478) with home advantage. How it works

Game story

More dramatic than 89% of this season's games
Ķekava/RB&B 02:20 1:0 Patriks Bliska14:14 2:0 Patriks Bliska16:14 2:1 Artūrs Bergs16:49 3:1 Valters Kalnietis25:10 3:2 Gvido Lauga27:54 3:3 Mārtiņš Broks29:36 3:4 Ričards Riba32:24 4:4 Endijs Umberts Barruss33:42 5:4 Toms Ķeirāns48:26 6:4 Patriks Bliska48:41 6:5 Mārtiņš Broks53:39 6:6 Matīss Dulbe57:05 7:6 Kārlis Degins FBK Valmiera
Lead changes
2
Ties
3
Largest lead
2 Ķekava/RB&B
Comeback
1 goals down

Key moments

  1. 32:24 4:4 Endijs Umberts Barruss (Ķekava/RB&B) Ķekava/RB&B's win chance 43% → 61%
  2. 53:39 6:6 Matīss Dulbe (FBK Valmiera) FBK Valmiera's win chance 17% → 43%
  3. 57:05 7:6 Kārlis Degins (Ķekava/RB&B) Ķekava/RB&B's win chance 56% → 88%

The line shows Ķekava/RB&B's chance to win (top) against FBK Valmiera's (bottom) through the game, from the pre-game ratings, the score and the time left. Dots are goals, bars under the chart penalties. How it works

Stat Guide

Quick explanation of the game and pre-game metrics shown below.

  • Power play efficiency: How often a team scores while playing with a man advantage.
  • Penalty kill efficiency: How often a team prevents goals while shorthanded.
  • PPG: Points per game in the selected sample.
  • GPG / GA/G: Goals scored / conceded per game.
  • GD/G: Goal difference per game (scored minus conceded).
  • OT/PS Wins/Losses: Overtime or shootout outcomes (close-game execution).
  • Last 5 Form: Most recent five games (`W`, `L`, `D`, including OT variants).
  • Win probability: Chance to win from the Elo power ratings of both teams before the game, home advantage, overtime and penalty shots included.
  • Game winner / Clutch / Overtime: Labels in the game events. The game winner gave the winner one more goal than the loser's final total; a clutch goal tied the game or gave the lead in the last ten minutes.

Power play efficiency

33.33 / 0.0

Penalty kill efficiency

100.0 / 66.67

Penalties

1 / 3

Points in close games (≤2 goals)

3 / 0

Shootout W/L

0-0 / 0-0

Special Teams

HomeMetricAway
3Power plays1
1Power play goals0
1Penalty kills3
0Goals against on PK1

Game Flow

HomeMetricAway
3Take the Lead1
1Equalizers2
1First goal0
1Close game won0
0Close game lost1

Penalties

HomeTypeAway
12 minutes3
02+2 minutes0
010 minutes0
0Match penalty0

Goals per period

Game Events

General Season Performance

HomeMetricAway
23Games played23
31Points31
1.35Points per Game (PPG)1.35
9Wins8
11Losses9
1 OT/PS Wins 1
2 OT/PS Losses 5
6.17Goals per Game (GPG)6.13
5.74Goals Against per Game (GA/G)6.04
0.43Goal Difference per Game (GD/G)0.09
1.40Penalties per Game (Pen/G)1.80
0.20Penalty Kill Goals Against per Game (PK GA/G)0.60

Last 5 Form

HomeMetricAway
L L W W W Last 5 games W W W L L
2.0Points per Game (PPG)1.60
2.60Goal Difference per Game (GD/G)0.80

Home vs Away Strength

HomeMetricAway
1.67Points per Game (PPG)1.17
1.58Goal Difference per Game (GD/G)-0.50
29.41Power Play % vs Away Penalty Kill % (PP% vs PK%)70.0
85.71Penalty Kill % vs Away Power Play % (PK% vs PP%)27.27