Latvia 25/26 Regular Season Final Fri 30 Jan 2026 374 spectators
FBK Valmiera Home
13:7
FBK SĀC Away
P1 2:1 P2 6:4 P3 5:2

Pre-game win probability

77% FBK Valmiera
vs
23% FBK SĀC

Chance to win the game, overtime and penalty shots included, from the Elo power ratings before the game (FBK Valmiera 1448, FBK SĀC 1287) with home advantage. How it works

Game story

More dramatic than 51% of this season's games
FBK Valmiera 01:38 1:0 Arvis Kārkliņš09:51 1:1 Tomass Kristofers Birstiņš16:23 2:1 Ričards Riba25:00 3:1 Mārtiņš Broks26:13 3:2 Kevins Šmits28:36 4:2 Unknown28:50 4:3 Dēvids Osītis30:07 5:3 Mārtiņš Broks34:01 6:3 Ralfs Matīss Balodis35:41 6:4 Ralfs Celmiņš37:32 7:4 Ričards Eglītis37:43 7:5 Ralfs Celmiņš39:46 8:5 Ričards Eglītis50:52 9:5 Georgs Māziņš54:50 10:5 Arvis Kārkliņš57:11 11:5 Ralfs Klodžs57:33 11:6 Ralfs Celmiņš58:22 11:7 Dēvids Osītis58:49 12:7 Aleksejs Jakovļevs59:53 13:7 Markuss Strazdiņš-Stradiņš FBK SĀC
Lead changes
0
Ties
1
Largest lead
6 FBK Valmiera
Comeback
–

Key moments

  1. 09:51 1:1 Tomass Kristofers Birstiņš (FBK SĀC) FBK SĀC's win chance 15% → 23%
  2. 16:23 2:1 Ričards Riba (FBK Valmiera) FBK Valmiera's win chance 75% → 84%
  3. 30:07 5:3 Mārtiņš Broks (FBK Valmiera) FBK Valmiera's win chance 83% → 90%

The line shows FBK Valmiera's chance to win (top) against FBK SĀC's (bottom) through the game, from the pre-game ratings, the score and the time left. Dots are goals, bars under the chart penalties. How it works

Stat Guide

Quick explanation of the game and pre-game metrics shown below.

  • Power play efficiency: How often a team scores while playing with a man advantage.
  • Penalty kill efficiency: How often a team prevents goals while shorthanded.
  • PPG: Points per game in the selected sample.
  • GPG / GA/G: Goals scored / conceded per game.
  • GD/G: Goal difference per game (scored minus conceded).
  • OT/PS Wins/Losses: Overtime or shootout outcomes (close-game execution).
  • Last 5 Form: Most recent five games (`W`, `L`, `D`, including OT variants).
  • Win probability: Chance to win from the Elo power ratings of both teams before the game, home advantage, overtime and penalty shots included.
  • Game winner / Clutch / Overtime: Labels in the game events. The game winner gave the winner one more goal than the loser's final total; a clutch goal tied the game or gave the lead in the last ten minutes.

Power play efficiency

100.0 / 66.67

Penalty kill efficiency

33.33 / 0.0

Penalties

3 / 1

Points in close games (≤2 goals)

0 / 0

Shootout W/L

0-0 / 0-0

Special Teams

HomeMetricAway
1Power plays3
1Power play goals2
3Penalty kills1
2Goals against on PK1

Game Flow

HomeMetricAway
2Take the Lead0
0Equalizers1
1First goal0
0Close game won0
0Close game lost0

Penalties

HomeTypeAway
32 minutes1
02+2 minutes0
010 minutes0
0Match penalty0

Goals per period

Game Events

General Season Performance

HomeMetricAway
25Games played25
31Points21
1.24Points per Game (PPG)0.84
8Wins6
11Losses17
1 OT/PS Wins 1
5 OT/PS Losses 1
6.08Goals per Game (GPG)6.28
6.20Goals Against per Game (GA/G)8.24
-0.12Goal Difference per Game (GD/G)-1.96
1.80Penalties per Game (Pen/G)2.40
0.60Penalty Kill Goals Against per Game (PK GA/G)1.0

Last 5 Form

HomeMetricAway
W L L L L Last 5 games L L L L W
0.60Points per Game (PPG)0.60
-1.40Goal Difference per Game (GD/G)-3.40

Home vs Away Strength

HomeMetricAway
1.42Points per Game (PPG)1.0
0.33Goal Difference per Game (GD/G)-1.67
40.0Power Play % vs Away Penalty Kill % (PP% vs PK%)58.33
70.0Penalty Kill % vs Away Power Play % (PK% vs PP%)23.53