Latvia 25/26 Regular Season Final Sat 14 Feb 2026 198 spectators
P1 6:5 P2 5:3 P3 3:4

Pre-game win probability

88% Ķekava/RB&B
vs
12% FBK SĀC

Chance to win the game, overtime and penalty shots included, from the Elo power ratings before the game (Ķekava/RB&B 1557, FBK SĀC 1263) with home advantage. How it works

Game story

More dramatic than 64% of this season's games
Ķekava/RB&B 01:19 1:0 Reinis Melgailis04:48 2:0 Kristaps Laugalis06:02 3:0 Klāvs Ziedonis-Jansons09:23 4:0 Patriks Zvejnieks10:33 5:0 Valters Kalnietis10:46 5:1 Ralfs Celmiņš14:43 5:2 Ralfs Celmiņš16:15 5:3 Ralfs Celmiņš16:43 5:4 Kristers Orlovs17:41 6:4 Klāvs Ziedonis-Jansons17:55 6:5 Miks Nagliņš24:05 7:5 Klāvs Ziedonis-Jansons24:37 8:5 Patriks Bliska29:03 9:5 Ričards Orste30:07 9:6 Kevins Šmits32:55 9:7 Kristers Orlovs34:39 10:7 Renārs Eglītis36:58 10:8 Niks Nagliņš37:49 11:8 Patriks Bliska45:20 11:9 Kevins Šmits48:16 11:10 Kristers Orlovs52:34 12:10 Endijs Umberts Barruss54:24 12:11 Kevins Šmits55:42 12:12 Dēvids Osītis57:24 13:12 Reinis Melgailis58:14 14:12 Ričards Orste FBK SĀC
Lead changes
0
Ties
1
Largest lead
5 Ķekava/RB&B
Comeback
–

Key moments

  1. 52:34 12:10 Endijs Umberts Barruss (Ķekava/RB&B) Ķekava/RB&B's win chance 90% → 97%
  2. 55:42 12:12 Dēvids Osītis (FBK SĀC) FBK SĀC's win chance 8% → 30%
  3. 57:24 13:12 Reinis Melgailis (Ķekava/RB&B) Ķekava/RB&B's win chance 69% → 93%

The line shows Ķekava/RB&B's chance to win (top) against FBK SĀC's (bottom) through the game, from the pre-game ratings, the score and the time left. Dots are goals, bars under the chart penalties. How it works

Stat Guide

Quick explanation of the game and pre-game metrics shown below.

  • Power play efficiency: How often a team scores while playing with a man advantage.
  • Penalty kill efficiency: How often a team prevents goals while shorthanded.
  • PPG: Points per game in the selected sample.
  • GPG / GA/G: Goals scored / conceded per game.
  • GD/G: Goal difference per game (scored minus conceded).
  • OT/PS Wins/Losses: Overtime or shootout outcomes (close-game execution).
  • Last 5 Form: Most recent five games (`W`, `L`, `D`, including OT variants).
  • Win probability: Chance to win from the Elo power ratings of both teams before the game, home advantage, overtime and penalty shots included.
  • Game winner / Clutch / Overtime: Labels in the game events. The game winner gave the winner one more goal than the loser's final total; a clutch goal tied the game or gave the lead in the last ten minutes.

Power play efficiency

50.0 / 100.0

Penalty kill efficiency

0.0 / 50.0

Penalties

2 / 2

Points in close games (≤2 goals)

0 / 0

Shootout W/L

0-0 / 0-0

Special Teams

HomeMetricAway
2Power plays2
1Power play goals2
2Penalty kills2
2Goals against on PK1

Game Flow

HomeMetricAway
3Take the Lead1
1Equalizers2
1First goal0
0Close game won0
0Close game lost0

Penalties

HomeTypeAway
22 minutes2
02+2 minutes0
010 minutes0
0Match penalty0

Goals per period

Game Events

General Season Performance

HomeMetricAway
26Games played26
37Points21
1.42Points per Game (PPG)0.81
11Wins6
12Losses18
1 OT/PS Wins 1
2 OT/PS Losses 1
6.19Goals per Game (GPG)6.31
5.54Goals Against per Game (GA/G)8.42
0.65Goal Difference per Game (GD/G)-2.12
1.60Penalties per Game (Pen/G)2.40
0.0Penalty Kill Goals Against per Game (PK GA/G)1.20

Last 5 Form

HomeMetricAway
W W W L W Last 5 games L L L W L
2.40Points per Game (PPG)0.60
4.40Goal Difference per Game (GD/G)-3.80

Home vs Away Strength

HomeMetricAway
1.77Points per Game (PPG)0.92
1.54Goal Difference per Game (GD/G)-2.0
38.89Power Play % vs Away Penalty Kill % (PP% vs PK%)50.0
100.0Penalty Kill % vs Away Power Play % (PK% vs PP%)26.32