Latvia 25/26 Playoffs Quarter-finals Final Wed 18 Feb 2026 143 spectators
P1 0:0 P2 2:0 P3 1:1

Pre-game win probability

86% Talsu NSS/Krauzers
vs
14% FBK Valmiera

Chance to win the game, overtime and penalty shots included, from the Elo power ratings before the game (Talsu NSS/Krauzers 1736, FBK Valmiera 1462) with home advantage. How it works

Game story

More dramatic than 26% of this season's games
Talsu NSS/Krauzers 31:46 1:0 Rūdolfs Niedrājs36:48 2:0 Artis Raitums44:12 2:1 Ralfs Matīss Balodis58:08 3:1 Adrians Spunde FBK Valmiera
Lead changes
0
Ties
0
Largest lead
2 Talsu NSS/Krauzers
Comeback
–

Key moments

  1. 31:46 1:0 Rūdolfs Niedrājs (Talsu NSS/Krauzers) Talsu NSS/Krauzers's win chance 80% → 89%
  2. 36:48 2:0 Artis Raitums (Talsu NSS/Krauzers) Talsu NSS/Krauzers's win chance 88% → 94%
  3. 44:12 2:1 Ralfs Matīss Balodis (FBK Valmiera) FBK Valmiera's win chance 5% → 12%

The line shows Talsu NSS/Krauzers's chance to win (top) against FBK Valmiera's (bottom) through the game, from the pre-game ratings, the score and the time left. Dots are goals, bars under the chart penalties. How it works

Stat Guide

Quick explanation of the game and pre-game metrics shown below.

  • Power play efficiency: How often a team scores while playing with a man advantage.
  • Penalty kill efficiency: How often a team prevents goals while shorthanded.
  • PPG: Points per game in the selected sample.
  • GPG / GA/G: Goals scored / conceded per game.
  • GD/G: Goal difference per game (scored minus conceded).
  • OT/PS Wins/Losses: Overtime or shootout outcomes (close-game execution).
  • Last 5 Form: Most recent five games (`W`, `L`, `D`, including OT variants).
  • Win probability: Chance to win from the Elo power ratings of both teams before the game, home advantage, overtime and penalty shots included.
  • Game winner / Clutch / Overtime: Labels in the game events. The game winner gave the winner one more goal than the loser's final total; a clutch goal tied the game or gave the lead in the last ten minutes.

Power play efficiency

n.a. / 0.0

Penalty kill efficiency

100.0 / n.a.

Penalties

2 / 0

Points in close games (≤2 goals)

0 / 0

Shootout W/L

0-0 / 0-0

Special Teams

HomeMetricAway
0Power plays3
0Power play goals0
3Penalty kills0
0Goals against on PK0

Game Flow

HomeMetricAway
1Take the Lead0
0Equalizers0
1First goal0
0Close game won0
0Close game lost0

Penalties

HomeTypeAway
12 minutes0
12+2 minutes0
010 minutes0
0Match penalty0

Goals per period

Game Events

General Season Performance

HomeMetricAway
27Games played27
62Points34
2.30Points per Game (PPG)1.26
19Wins9
5Losses12
2 OT/PS Wins 1
1 OT/PS Losses 5
7.78Goals per Game (GPG)6.33
4.78Goals Against per Game (GA/G)6.37
3.0Goal Difference per Game (GD/G)-0.04
1.80Penalties per Game (Pen/G)2.20
0.80Penalty Kill Goals Against per Game (PK GA/G)1.0

Last 5 Form

HomeMetricAway
W W W L W Last 5 games L L L W L
2.40Points per Game (PPG)0.60
2.60Goal Difference per Game (GD/G)-1.0

Home vs Away Strength

HomeMetricAway
2.29Points per Game (PPG)1.0
2.93Goal Difference per Game (GD/G)-0.79
36.36Power Play % vs Away Penalty Kill % (PP% vs PK%)54.55
55.56Penalty Kill % vs Away Power Play % (PK% vs PP%)66.67