Latvia 25/26 Playoffs Quarter-finals Final Sat 21 Feb 2026 207 spectators
P1 0:2 P2 2:1 P3 1:1

Pre-game win probability

Upset · winner had 13%
87% Talsu NSS/Krauzers
vs
13% FBK Valmiera

Chance to win the game, overtime and penalty shots included, from the Elo power ratings before the game (Talsu NSS/Krauzers 1745, FBK Valmiera 1452) with home advantage. How it works

Game story

More dramatic than 85% of this season's games
Talsu NSS/Krauzers 10:37 0:1 Arvis Kārkliņš11:07 0:2 Georgs Māziņš20:15 1:2 Artis Raitums35:38 1:3 Aleksejs Jakovļevs38:50 2:3 Dilans Kronentāls53:54 2:4 Gvido Lauga55:04 3:4 Aldis Banders FBK Valmiera
Lead changes
0
Ties
0
Largest lead
2 FBK Valmiera
Comeback
–

Key moments

  1. 38:50 2:3 Dilans Kronentāls (Talsu NSS/Krauzers) Talsu NSS/Krauzers's win chance 43% → 62%
  2. 53:54 2:4 Gvido Lauga (FBK Valmiera) FBK Valmiera's win chance 61% → 85%
  3. 55:04 3:4 Aldis Banders (Talsu NSS/Krauzers) Talsu NSS/Krauzers's win chance 12% → 36%

The line shows Talsu NSS/Krauzers's chance to win (top) against FBK Valmiera's (bottom) through the game, from the pre-game ratings, the score and the time left. Dots are goals, bars under the chart penalties. How it works

Stat Guide

Quick explanation of the game and pre-game metrics shown below.

  • Power play efficiency: How often a team scores while playing with a man advantage.
  • Penalty kill efficiency: How often a team prevents goals while shorthanded.
  • PPG: Points per game in the selected sample.
  • GPG / GA/G: Goals scored / conceded per game.
  • GD/G: Goal difference per game (scored minus conceded).
  • OT/PS Wins/Losses: Overtime or shootout outcomes (close-game execution).
  • Last 5 Form: Most recent five games (`W`, `L`, `D`, including OT variants).
  • Win probability: Chance to win from the Elo power ratings of both teams before the game, home advantage, overtime and penalty shots included.
  • Game winner / Clutch / Overtime: Labels in the game events. The game winner gave the winner one more goal than the loser's final total; a clutch goal tied the game or gave the lead in the last ten minutes.

Power play efficiency

0.0 / n.a.

Penalty kill efficiency

n.a. / 100.0

Penalties

0 / 2

Points in close games (≤2 goals)

0 / 3

Shootout W/L

0-0 / 0-0

Special Teams

HomeMetricAway
2Power plays0
0Power play goals0
0Penalty kills2
0Goals against on PK0

Game Flow

HomeMetricAway
0Take the Lead1
0Equalizers0
0First goal1
0Close game won1
1Close game lost0

Penalties

HomeTypeAway
02 minutes2
02+2 minutes0
010 minutes0
0Match penalty0

Goals per period

Game Events

General Season Performance

HomeMetricAway
28Games played28
65Points34
2.32Points per Game (PPG)1.21
20Wins9
5Losses13
2 OT/PS Wins 1
1 OT/PS Losses 5
7.64Goals per Game (GPG)6.14
4.64Goals Against per Game (GA/G)6.29
3.0Goal Difference per Game (GD/G)-0.14
1.80Penalties per Game (Pen/G)1.80
0.80Penalty Kill Goals Against per Game (PK GA/G)0.80

Last 5 Form

HomeMetricAway
W W L W W Last 5 games L L W L L
2.40Points per Game (PPG)0.60
3.0Goal Difference per Game (GD/G)-1.20

Home vs Away Strength

HomeMetricAway
2.33Points per Game (PPG)0.93
2.93Goal Difference per Game (GD/G)-0.93
36.36Power Play % vs Away Penalty Kill % (PP% vs PK%)55.56
60.0Penalty Kill % vs Away Power Play % (PK% vs PP%)42.86