Latvia 25/26 Playoffs Quarter-finals Final Sun 22 Feb 2026 334 spectators
P1 0:2 P2 10:0 P3 6:0

Pre-game win probability

96% Rubene
vs
4% FBK SĀC

Chance to win the game, overtime and penalty shots included, from the Elo power ratings before the game (Rubene 1777, FBK SĀC 1256) with home advantage. How it works

Game story

More dramatic than 21% of this season's games
Rubene 01:48 0:1 Miks Nagliņš15:37 0:2 Ralfs Celmiņš20:25 1:2 Gustavs Siliņš21:41 2:2 Toms Pētersons22:40 3:2 Mikus Edvards Ķikuts24:35 4:2 Jēkabs Keišs27:18 5:2 Pavel Semenov28:28 6:2 Ingars Matisons30:48 7:2 Mikus Edvards Ķikuts36:23 8:2 Matīss Celms39:04 9:2 Matīss Celms39:39 10:2 Mārcis Brīvulis43:03 11:2 (FBK SĀC) bumbiņa savos vārtos44:43 12:2 Dāvis Zēmelis49:27 13:2 Māris Parts50:42 14:2 Matīss Celms54:00 15:2 Kārlis Bitmanis56:06 16:2 Rihards Avots FBK SĀC
Lead changes
1
Ties
1
Largest lead
14 Rubene
Comeback
2 goals down

Key moments

  1. 20:25 1:2 Gustavs Siliņš (Rubene) Rubene's win chance 85% → 91%

The line shows Rubene's chance to win (top) against FBK SĀC's (bottom) through the game, from the pre-game ratings, the score and the time left. Dots are goals, bars under the chart penalties. How it works

Stat Guide

Quick explanation of the game and pre-game metrics shown below.

  • Power play efficiency: How often a team scores while playing with a man advantage.
  • Penalty kill efficiency: How often a team prevents goals while shorthanded.
  • PPG: Points per game in the selected sample.
  • GPG / GA/G: Goals scored / conceded per game.
  • GD/G: Goal difference per game (scored minus conceded).
  • OT/PS Wins/Losses: Overtime or shootout outcomes (close-game execution).
  • Last 5 Form: Most recent five games (`W`, `L`, `D`, including OT variants).
  • Win probability: Chance to win from the Elo power ratings of both teams before the game, home advantage, overtime and penalty shots included.
  • Game winner / Clutch / Overtime: Labels in the game events. The game winner gave the winner one more goal than the loser's final total; a clutch goal tied the game or gave the lead in the last ten minutes.

Power play efficiency

100.0 / n.a.

Penalty kill efficiency

n.a. / 0.0

Penalties

0 / 2

Points in close games (≤2 goals)

0 / 0

Shootout W/L

0-0 / 0-0

Special Teams

HomeMetricAway
2Power plays0
2Power play goals0
0Penalty kills2
0Goals against on PK2

Game Flow

HomeMetricAway
1Take the Lead1
1Equalizers0
0First goal1
0Close game won0
0Close game lost0

Penalties

HomeTypeAway
02 minutes2
02+2 minutes0
010 minutes0
0Match penalty0

Goals per period

Game Events

General Season Performance

HomeMetricAway
28Games played28
73Points21
2.61Points per Game (PPG)0.75
23Wins6
3Losses20
2 OT/PS Wins 1
0 OT/PS Losses 1
8.43Goals per Game (GPG)6.50
4.64Goals Against per Game (GA/G)8.68
3.79Goal Difference per Game (GD/G)-2.18
2.40Penalties per Game (Pen/G)1.60
1.20Penalty Kill Goals Against per Game (PK GA/G)0.60

Last 5 Form

HomeMetricAway
L W W W W Last 5 games L W L L L
2.40Points per Game (PPG)0.60
3.40Goal Difference per Game (GD/G)-2.0

Home vs Away Strength

HomeMetricAway
2.43Points per Game (PPG)0.80
4.36Goal Difference per Game (GD/G)-2.13
9.09Power Play % vs Away Penalty Kill % (PP% vs PK%)62.50
53.85Penalty Kill % vs Away Power Play % (PK% vs PP%)46.67