Latvia 25/26 Playoffs Quarter-finals Final Fri 27 Feb 2026 389 spectators
P1 1:1 P2 2:1 P3 4:1

Pre-game win probability

Upset · winner had 28%
28% FBK Valmiera
vs
72% Talsu NSS/Krauzers

Chance to win the game, overtime and penalty shots included, from the Elo power ratings before the game (FBK Valmiera 1492, Talsu NSS/Krauzers 1705) with home advantage. How it works

Game story

More dramatic than 65% of this season's games
FBK Valmiera 09:30 0:1 Adrians Spunde13:45 1:1 Arvis Kārkliņš29:01 2:1 Arvis Kārkliņš33:43 3:1 Ralfs Akmentiņš36:52 3:2 Toms Akmeņlauks42:06 4:2 Mārtiņš Broks44:34 5:2 Georgs Māziņš56:06 5:3 Rūdolfs Niedrājs58:26 6:3 Mārtiņš Broks59:02 7:3 Ričards Eglītis Talsu NSS/Krauzers
Lead changes
1
Ties
1
Largest lead
4 FBK Valmiera
Comeback
1 goals down

Key moments

  1. 33:43 3:1 Ralfs Akmentiņš (FBK Valmiera) FBK Valmiera's win chance 50% → 67%
  2. 36:52 3:2 Toms Akmeņlauks (Talsu NSS/Krauzers) Talsu NSS/Krauzers's win chance 30% → 48%
  3. 42:06 4:2 Mārtiņš Broks (FBK Valmiera) FBK Valmiera's win chance 56% → 75%

The line shows FBK Valmiera's chance to win (top) against Talsu NSS/Krauzers's (bottom) through the game, from the pre-game ratings, the score and the time left. Dots are goals, bars under the chart penalties. How it works

Stat Guide

Quick explanation of the game and pre-game metrics shown below.

  • Power play efficiency: How often a team scores while playing with a man advantage.
  • Penalty kill efficiency: How often a team prevents goals while shorthanded.
  • PPG: Points per game in the selected sample.
  • GPG / GA/G: Goals scored / conceded per game.
  • GD/G: Goal difference per game (scored minus conceded).
  • OT/PS Wins/Losses: Overtime or shootout outcomes (close-game execution).
  • Last 5 Form: Most recent five games (`W`, `L`, `D`, including OT variants).
  • Win probability: Chance to win from the Elo power ratings of both teams before the game, home advantage, overtime and penalty shots included.
  • Game winner / Clutch / Overtime: Labels in the game events. The game winner gave the winner one more goal than the loser's final total; a clutch goal tied the game or gave the lead in the last ten minutes.

Power play efficiency

n.a. / 100.0

Penalty kill efficiency

0.0 / n.a.

Penalties

1 / 0

Points in close games (≤2 goals)

0 / 0

Shootout W/L

0-0 / 0-0

Special Teams

HomeMetricAway
0Power plays1
0Power play goals1
1Penalty kills0
1Goals against on PK0

Game Flow

HomeMetricAway
1Take the Lead1
1Equalizers0
0First goal1
0Close game won0
0Close game lost0

Penalties

HomeTypeAway
12 minutes0
02+2 minutes0
010 minutes0
0Match penalty0

Goals per period

Game Events

General Season Performance

HomeMetricAway
29Games played29
37Points65
1.28Points per Game (PPG)2.24
10Wins20
13Losses6
1 OT/PS Wins 2
5 OT/PS Losses 1
6.07Goals per Game (GPG)7.48
6.17Goals Against per Game (GA/G)4.62
-0.10Goal Difference per Game (GD/G)2.86
1.60Penalties per Game (Pen/G)1.20
0.60Penalty Kill Goals Against per Game (PK GA/G)0.40

Last 5 Form

HomeMetricAway
L W L L W Last 5 games W L W W L
1.20Points per Game (PPG)1.80
-0.80Goal Difference per Game (GD/G)2.20

Home vs Away Strength

HomeMetricAway
1.54Points per Game (PPG)2.31
0.77Goal Difference per Game (GD/G)3.08
50.0Power Play % vs Away Penalty Kill % (PP% vs PK%)71.43
62.50Penalty Kill % vs Away Power Play % (PK% vs PP%)20.0