Latvia 25/26 Playoffs Quarter-finals Final · OT Sun 01 Mar 2026 547 spectators
FBK Valmiera Home
6:7
Talsu NSS/Krauzers Away
P1 0:4 P2 2:1 P3 4:1 OT 0:1

Pre-game win probability

46% FBK Valmiera
vs
54% Talsu NSS/Krauzers

Chance to win the game, overtime and penalty shots included, from the Elo power ratings before the game (FBK Valmiera 1563, Talsu NSS/Krauzers 1634) with home advantage. How it works

Game story

More dramatic than 79% of this season's games
FBK Valmiera 06:30 0:1 Jānis Škutāns07:30 0:2 Jānis Ragovskis15:35 0:3 Klāvs Vītols19:48 0:4 Rūdolfs Niedrājs20:53 0:5 Rūdolfs Niedrājs24:41 1:5 Mārtiņš Broks38:52 2:5 Ričards Eglītis44:45 3:5 Georgs Māziņš46:21 4:5 Ričards Eglītis49:46 4:6 Rūdolfs Niedrājs52:22 5:6 Oskars Siliņš53:57 6:6 Kārlis ViļumsOT 02:43 6:7 Ralfs Polis Talsu NSS/Krauzers
Lead changes
0
Ties
1
Largest lead
5 Talsu NSS/Krauzers
Comeback
–

Key moments

  1. 49:46 4:6 Rūdolfs Niedrājs (Talsu NSS/Krauzers) Talsu NSS/Krauzers's win chance 76% → 90%
  2. 53:57 6:6 Kārlis Viļums (FBK Valmiera) FBK Valmiera's win chance 20% → 48%
  3. OT 02:43 6:7 Ralfs Polis (Talsu NSS/Krauzers) Talsu NSS/Krauzers's win chance 51% → 100%

The line shows FBK Valmiera's chance to win (top) against Talsu NSS/Krauzers's (bottom) through the game, from the pre-game ratings, the score and the time left. Dots are goals, bars under the chart penalties. How it works

Stat Guide

Quick explanation of the game and pre-game metrics shown below.

  • Power play efficiency: How often a team scores while playing with a man advantage.
  • Penalty kill efficiency: How often a team prevents goals while shorthanded.
  • PPG: Points per game in the selected sample.
  • GPG / GA/G: Goals scored / conceded per game.
  • GD/G: Goal difference per game (scored minus conceded).
  • OT/PS Wins/Losses: Overtime or shootout outcomes (close-game execution).
  • Last 5 Form: Most recent five games (`W`, `L`, `D`, including OT variants).
  • Win probability: Chance to win from the Elo power ratings of both teams before the game, home advantage, overtime and penalty shots included.
  • Game winner / Clutch / Overtime: Labels in the game events. The game winner gave the winner one more goal than the loser's final total; a clutch goal tied the game or gave the lead in the last ten minutes.

Power play efficiency

0.0 / 33.33

Penalty kill efficiency

66.67 / 100.0

Penalties

4 / 2

Points in close games (≤2 goals)

0 / 0

Shootout W/L

0-0 / 0-0

Special Teams

HomeMetricAway
1Power plays3
0Power play goals1
3Penalty kills1
1Goals against on PK0

Game Flow

HomeMetricAway
0Take the Lead2
1Equalizers0
0First goal1
0Close game won0
0Close game lost0

Penalties

HomeTypeAway
42 minutes2
02+2 minutes0
010 minutes0
0Match penalty0

Goals per period

Game Events

General Season Performance

HomeMetricAway
30Games played30
40Points65
1.33Points per Game (PPG)2.17
11Wins20
13Losses7
1 OT/PS Wins 2
5 OT/PS Losses 1
6.10Goals per Game (GPG)7.33
6.07Goals Against per Game (GA/G)4.70
0.03Goal Difference per Game (GD/G)2.63
1.60Penalties per Game (Pen/G)1.0
0.80Penalty Kill Goals Against per Game (PK GA/G)0.20

Last 5 Form

HomeMetricAway
W L L W W Last 5 games L W W L L
1.80Points per Game (PPG)1.20
0.80Goal Difference per Game (GD/G)0.60

Home vs Away Strength

HomeMetricAway
1.64Points per Game (PPG)2.14
1.0Goal Difference per Game (GD/G)2.57
40.0Power Play % vs Away Penalty Kill % (PP% vs PK%)83.33
50.0Penalty Kill % vs Away Power Play % (PK% vs PP%)30.0