Latvia 25/26 Playoffs Quarter-finals Final Sat 07 Mar 2026 594 spectators
Lekrings Home
5:9
Ķekava/RB&B Away
P1 2:2 P2 2:3 P3 1:4

Pre-game win probability

63% Lekrings
vs
37% Ķekava/RB&B

Chance to win the game, overtime and penalty shots included, from the Elo power ratings before the game (Lekrings 1576, Ķekava/RB&B 1530) with home advantage. How it works

Game story

More dramatic than 74% of this season's games
Lekrings 00:24 1:0 Edgars Puriņš02:02 1:1 Klāvs Ziedonis-Jansons04:25 1:2 Kārlis Degins14:59 2:2 Jorens Štāls25:44 2:3 Kārlis Degins26:31 2:4 Reinis Melgailis28:11 2:5 Klāvs Ziedonis-Jansons33:44 3:5 Jorens Štāls35:43 4:5 Renārs Kovaļovs52:06 4:6 Klāvs Ziedonis-Jansons54:02 4:7 Klāvs Ziedonis-Jansons55:17 4:8 Kārlis Degins57:18 4:9 Toms Ķeirāns57:48 5:9 Bruno Beķeris Ķekava/RB&B
Lead changes
1
Ties
2
Largest lead
5 Ķekava/RB&B
Comeback
1 goals down

Key moments

  1. 25:44 2:3 Kārlis Degins (Ķekava/RB&B) Ķekava/RB&B's win chance 39% → 55%
  2. 35:43 4:5 Renārs Kovaļovs (Lekrings) Lekrings's win chance 25% → 41%
  3. 52:06 4:6 Klāvs Ziedonis-Jansons (Ķekava/RB&B) Ķekava/RB&B's win chance 72% → 90%

The line shows Lekrings's chance to win (top) against Ķekava/RB&B's (bottom) through the game, from the pre-game ratings, the score and the time left. Dots are goals, bars under the chart penalties. How it works

Stat Guide

Quick explanation of the game and pre-game metrics shown below.

  • Power play efficiency: How often a team scores while playing with a man advantage.
  • Penalty kill efficiency: How often a team prevents goals while shorthanded.
  • PPG: Points per game in the selected sample.
  • GPG / GA/G: Goals scored / conceded per game.
  • GD/G: Goal difference per game (scored minus conceded).
  • OT/PS Wins/Losses: Overtime or shootout outcomes (close-game execution).
  • Last 5 Form: Most recent five games (`W`, `L`, `D`, including OT variants).
  • Win probability: Chance to win from the Elo power ratings of both teams before the game, home advantage, overtime and penalty shots included.
  • Game winner / Clutch / Overtime: Labels in the game events. The game winner gave the winner one more goal than the loser's final total; a clutch goal tied the game or gave the lead in the last ten minutes.

Power play efficiency

0.0 / 25.0

Penalty kill efficiency

75.0 / 100.0

Penalties

5 / 4

Points in close games (≤2 goals)

0 / 0

Shootout W/L

0-0 / 0-0

Special Teams

HomeMetricAway
3Power plays4
0Power play goals1
4Penalty kills3
1Goals against on PK0

Game Flow

HomeMetricAway
1Take the Lead2
1Equalizers1
1First goal0
0Close game won0
0Close game lost0

Penalties

HomeTypeAway
42 minutes3
02+2 minutes0
110 minutes1
0Match penalty0

Goals per period

Game Events

General Season Performance

HomeMetricAway
31Games played31
54Points45
1.74Points per Game (PPG)1.45
16Wins13
11Losses14
2 OT/PS Wins 2
2 OT/PS Losses 2
6.0Goals per Game (GPG)6.42
5.42Goals Against per Game (GA/G)5.81
0.58Goal Difference per Game (GD/G)0.61
4.20Penalties per Game (Pen/G)2.80
0.60Penalty Kill Goals Against per Game (PK GA/G)0.80

Last 5 Form

HomeMetricAway
L L W L W Last 5 games W W L W L
1.40Points per Game (PPG)1.60
-0.60Goal Difference per Game (GD/G)0.40

Home vs Away Strength

HomeMetricAway
1.87Points per Game (PPG)1.07
0.87Goal Difference per Game (GD/G)-0.47
20.0Power Play % vs Away Penalty Kill % (PP% vs PK%)60.0
85.0Penalty Kill % vs Away Power Play % (PK% vs PP%)19.05