Latvia 25/26 Playoffs Quarter-finals Final Sun 08 Mar 2026 681 spectators
FBK Valmiera Home
5:8
Talsu NSS/Krauzers Away
P1 1:1 P2 2:1 P3 2:5

Pre-game win probability

35% FBK Valmiera
vs
65% Talsu NSS/Krauzers

Chance to win the game, overtime and penalty shots included, from the Elo power ratings before the game (FBK Valmiera 1524, Talsu NSS/Krauzers 1673) with home advantage. How it works

Game story

More dramatic than 97% of this season's games
FBK Valmiera 00:27 1:0 Ralfs Matīss Balodis10:19 1:1 Ralfs Polis21:56 1:2 Adrians Spunde35:06 2:2 Arvis Kārkliņš36:04 3:2 Mārtiņš Broks43:16 4:2 Ralfs Klodžs49:09 4:3 Adrians Spunde51:13 4:4 Jānis Ragovskis53:23 4:5 Jānis Ragovskis56:13 5:5 Ralfs Akmentiņš59:44 5:6 Adrians Spunde59:58 5:7 Dilans Kronentāls Talsu NSS/Krauzers
Lead changes
3
Ties
4
Largest lead
2 FBK Valmiera
Comeback
2 goals down

Key moments

  1. 51:13 4:4 Jānis Ragovskis (Talsu NSS/Krauzers) Talsu NSS/Krauzers's win chance 30% → 57%
  2. 56:13 5:5 Ralfs Akmentiņš (FBK Valmiera) FBK Valmiera's win chance 14% → 43%
  3. 59:44 5:6 Adrians Spunde (Talsu NSS/Krauzers) Talsu NSS/Krauzers's win chance 56% → 95%

The line shows FBK Valmiera's chance to win (top) against Talsu NSS/Krauzers's (bottom) through the game, from the pre-game ratings, the score and the time left. Dots are goals, bars under the chart penalties. How it works

Stat Guide

Quick explanation of the game and pre-game metrics shown below.

  • Power play efficiency: How often a team scores while playing with a man advantage.
  • Penalty kill efficiency: How often a team prevents goals while shorthanded.
  • PPG: Points per game in the selected sample.
  • GPG / GA/G: Goals scored / conceded per game.
  • GD/G: Goal difference per game (scored minus conceded).
  • OT/PS Wins/Losses: Overtime or shootout outcomes (close-game execution).
  • Last 5 Form: Most recent five games (`W`, `L`, `D`, including OT variants).
  • Win probability: Chance to win from the Elo power ratings of both teams before the game, home advantage, overtime and penalty shots included.
  • Game winner / Clutch / Overtime: Labels in the game events. The game winner gave the winner one more goal than the loser's final total; a clutch goal tied the game or gave the lead in the last ten minutes.

Power play efficiency

33.33 / 50.0

Penalty kill efficiency

50.0 / 66.67

Penalties

3 / 4

Points in close games (≤2 goals)

0 / 0

Shootout W/L

0-0 / 0-0

Special Teams

HomeMetricAway
3Power plays2
1Power play goals1
2Penalty kills3
1Goals against on PK1

Game Flow

HomeMetricAway
2Take the Lead2
1Equalizers2
1First goal0
0Close game won0
0Close game lost0

Penalties

HomeTypeAway
22 minutes3
12+2 minutes0
010 minutes0
0Match penalty1

Goals per period

Game Events

General Season Performance

HomeMetricAway
32Games played32
41Points70
1.28Points per Game (PPG)2.19
11Wins21
14Losses7
1 OT/PS Wins 3
6 OT/PS Losses 1
5.94Goals per Game (GPG)7.34
6.16Goals Against per Game (GA/G)4.62
-0.22Goal Difference per Game (GD/G)2.72
1.60Penalties per Game (Pen/G)0.80
0.60Penalty Kill Goals Against per Game (PK GA/G)0.0

Last 5 Form

HomeMetricAway
L W W L L Last 5 games W L L W W
1.40Points per Game (PPG)1.60
-1.20Goal Difference per Game (GD/G)1.20

Home vs Away Strength

HomeMetricAway
1.60Points per Game (PPG)2.13
0.87Goal Difference per Game (GD/G)2.47
0.0Power Play % vs Away Penalty Kill % (PP% vs PK%)100.0
57.14Penalty Kill % vs Away Power Play % (PK% vs PP%)42.86