Latvia 25/26 Playoffs Quarter-finals Final Sun 08 Mar 2026 389 spectators
P1 1:3 P2 2:3 P3 2:0

Pre-game win probability

Upset · winner had 34%
66% Ķekava/RB&B
vs
34% Lekrings

Chance to win the game, overtime and penalty shots included, from the Elo power ratings before the game (Ķekava/RB&B 1589, Lekrings 1517) with home advantage. How it works

Game story

More dramatic than 76% of this season's games
Ķekava/RB&B 03:20 1:0 Endijs Umberts Barruss14:35 1:1 Jēkabs Berkolts15:39 1:2 Emīls Dzalbs17:25 1:3 Olafs Zvīnis21:09 1:4 Jorens Malkavs26:31 1:5 Emīls Dzalbs27:11 2:5 Kārlis Degins28:45 3:5 Patriks Bliska31:12 3:6 Jēkabs Berkolts44:42 4:6 Valters Kalnietis55:08 5:6 Patriks Bliska Lekrings
Lead changes
1
Ties
1
Largest lead
4 Lekrings
Comeback
1 goals down

Key moments

  1. 15:39 1:2 Emīls Dzalbs (Lekrings) Lekrings's win chance 35% → 48%
  2. 17:25 1:3 Olafs Zvīnis (Lekrings) Lekrings's win chance 49% → 62%
  3. 55:08 5:6 Patriks Bliska (Ķekava/RB&B) Ķekava/RB&B's win chance 7% → 24%

The line shows Ķekava/RB&B's chance to win (top) against Lekrings's (bottom) through the game, from the pre-game ratings, the score and the time left. Dots are goals, bars under the chart penalties. How it works

Stat Guide

Quick explanation of the game and pre-game metrics shown below.

  • Power play efficiency: How often a team scores while playing with a man advantage.
  • Penalty kill efficiency: How often a team prevents goals while shorthanded.
  • PPG: Points per game in the selected sample.
  • GPG / GA/G: Goals scored / conceded per game.
  • GD/G: Goal difference per game (scored minus conceded).
  • OT/PS Wins/Losses: Overtime or shootout outcomes (close-game execution).
  • Last 5 Form: Most recent five games (`W`, `L`, `D`, including OT variants).
  • Win probability: Chance to win from the Elo power ratings of both teams before the game, home advantage, overtime and penalty shots included.
  • Game winner / Clutch / Overtime: Labels in the game events. The game winner gave the winner one more goal than the loser's final total; a clutch goal tied the game or gave the lead in the last ten minutes.

Power play efficiency

0.0 / 50.0

Penalty kill efficiency

50.0 / 100.0

Penalties

5 / 2

Points in close games (≤2 goals)

0 / 0

Shootout W/L

0-0 / 0-0

Special Teams

HomeMetricAway
1Power plays4
0Power play goals2
4Penalty kills1
2Goals against on PK0

Game Flow

HomeMetricAway
1Take the Lead1
0Equalizers1
1First goal0
0Close game won0
0Close game lost0

Penalties

HomeTypeAway
52 minutes2
02+2 minutes0
010 minutes0
0Match penalty0

Goals per period

Game Events

General Season Performance

HomeMetricAway
32Games played32
48Points54
1.50Points per Game (PPG)1.69
14Wins16
14Losses12
2 OT/PS Wins 2
2 OT/PS Losses 2
6.50Goals per Game (GPG)5.97
5.78Goals Against per Game (GA/G)5.53
0.72Goal Difference per Game (GD/G)0.44
3.20Penalties per Game (Pen/G)5.0
0.40Penalty Kill Goals Against per Game (PK GA/G)0.80

Last 5 Form

HomeMetricAway
W L W L W Last 5 games L W L W L
1.60Points per Game (PPG)1.40
1.0Goal Difference per Game (GD/G)-1.0

Home vs Away Strength

HomeMetricAway
1.81Points per Game (PPG)1.62
1.62Goal Difference per Game (GD/G)0.31
17.39Power Play % vs Away Penalty Kill % (PP% vs PK%)82.61
81.82Penalty Kill % vs Away Power Play % (PK% vs PP%)18.18