Latvia 25/26 Playoffs Semi-finals Final Sat 14 Mar 2026 510 spectators
Rubene Home
8:5
Lekrings Away
P1 1:2 P2 1:2 P3 6:1

Pre-game win probability

81% Rubene
vs
19% Lekrings

Chance to win the game, overtime and penalty shots included, from the Elo power ratings before the game (Rubene 1789, Lekrings 1579) with home advantage. How it works

Game story

More dramatic than 88% of this season's games
Rubene 03:22 1:0 Mārcis Brīvulis15:53 1:1 Edgars Puriņš19:21 1:2 Bruno Beķeris23:12 2:2 Juris Zilberts23:34 2:3 Emīls Dzalbs30:15 2:4 Toms Rīsmanis40:38 3:4 Gustavs Siliņš44:39 3:5 Jorens Malkavs47:53 4:5 Pavel Semenov50:10 5:5 Mikus Edvards Ķikuts51:12 6:5 Ingars Matisons55:58 7:5 Jēkabs Keišs56:51 8:5 Mikus Edvards Ķikuts Lekrings
Lead changes
2
Ties
3
Largest lead
3 Rubene
Comeback
2 goals down

Key moments

  1. 44:39 3:5 Jorens Malkavs (Lekrings) Lekrings's win chance 51% → 72%
  2. 47:53 4:5 Pavel Semenov (Rubene) Rubene's win chance 23% → 45%
  3. 50:10 5:5 Mikus Edvards Ķikuts (Rubene) Rubene's win chance 41% → 68%

The line shows Rubene's chance to win (top) against Lekrings's (bottom) through the game, from the pre-game ratings, the score and the time left. Dots are goals, bars under the chart penalties. How it works

Stat Guide

Quick explanation of the game and pre-game metrics shown below.

  • Power play efficiency: How often a team scores while playing with a man advantage.
  • Penalty kill efficiency: How often a team prevents goals while shorthanded.
  • PPG: Points per game in the selected sample.
  • GPG / GA/G: Goals scored / conceded per game.
  • GD/G: Goal difference per game (scored minus conceded).
  • OT/PS Wins/Losses: Overtime or shootout outcomes (close-game execution).
  • Last 5 Form: Most recent five games (`W`, `L`, `D`, including OT variants).
  • Win probability: Chance to win from the Elo power ratings of both teams before the game, home advantage, overtime and penalty shots included.
  • Game winner / Clutch / Overtime: Labels in the game events. The game winner gave the winner one more goal than the loser's final total; a clutch goal tied the game or gave the lead in the last ten minutes.

Power play efficiency

33.33 / 50.0

Penalty kill efficiency

50.0 / 66.67

Penalties

3 / 3

Points in close games (≤2 goals)

0 / 0

Shootout W/L

0-0 / 0-0

Special Teams

HomeMetricAway
3Power plays2
1Power play goals1
2Penalty kills3
1Goals against on PK1

Game Flow

HomeMetricAway
2Take the Lead2
2Equalizers1
1First goal0
0Close game won0
0Close game lost0

Penalties

HomeTypeAway
32 minutes2
02+2 minutes1
010 minutes0
0Match penalty0

Goals per period

Game Events

General Season Performance

HomeMetricAway
31Games played34
82Points60
2.65Points per Game (PPG)1.76
26Wins18
3Losses12
2 OT/PS Wins 2
0 OT/PS Losses 2
8.61Goals per Game (GPG)5.91
4.48Goals Against per Game (GA/G)5.38
4.13Goal Difference per Game (GD/G)0.53
2.0Penalties per Game (Pen/G)3.80
0.60Penalty Kill Goals Against per Game (PK GA/G)0.60

Last 5 Form

HomeMetricAway
W W W W W Last 5 games L W L W W
3.0Points per Game (PPG)1.80
6.20Goal Difference per Game (GD/G)-1.0

Home vs Away Strength

HomeMetricAway
2.47Points per Game (PPG)1.71
5.0Goal Difference per Game (GD/G)0.35
45.45Power Play % vs Away Penalty Kill % (PP% vs PK%)78.57
66.67Penalty Kill % vs Away Power Play % (PK% vs PP%)14.29