Latvia 25/26 Playoffs Semi-finals Final Sat 21 Mar 2026 935 spectators
P1 0:1 P2 4:1 P3 0:2

Pre-game win probability

Upset · winner had 22%
22% Lekrings
vs
78% Rubene

Chance to win the game, overtime and penalty shots included, from the Elo power ratings before the game (Lekrings 1553, Rubene 1815) with home advantage. How it works

Game story

More dramatic than 94% of this season's games
Lekrings 14:25 0:1 Ritvars Bērziņš22:50 1:1 Edgars Puriņš23:05 1:2 Ingars Matisons25:04 2:2 Edgars Puriņš29:39 3:2 Edgars Puriņš37:27 4:2 Gints Bērtulis49:50 4:3 Jēkabs Keišs56:16 4:4 Ingars Matisons Rubene
Lead changes
1
Ties
3
Largest lead
2 Lekrings
Comeback
1 goals down

Key moments

  1. 37:27 4:2 Gints Bērtulis (Lekrings) Lekrings's win chance 48% → 66%
  2. 49:50 4:3 Jēkabs Keišs (Rubene) Rubene's win chance 18% → 39%
  3. 56:16 4:4 Ingars Matisons (Rubene) Rubene's win chance 26% → 63%

The line shows Lekrings's chance to win (top) against Rubene's (bottom) through the game, from the pre-game ratings, the score and the time left. Dots are goals, bars under the chart penalties. How it works

Stat Guide

Quick explanation of the game and pre-game metrics shown below.

  • Power play efficiency: How often a team scores while playing with a man advantage.
  • Penalty kill efficiency: How often a team prevents goals while shorthanded.
  • PPG: Points per game in the selected sample.
  • GPG / GA/G: Goals scored / conceded per game.
  • GD/G: Goal difference per game (scored minus conceded).
  • OT/PS Wins/Losses: Overtime or shootout outcomes (close-game execution).
  • Last 5 Form: Most recent five games (`W`, `L`, `D`, including OT variants).
  • Win probability: Chance to win from the Elo power ratings of both teams before the game, home advantage, overtime and penalty shots included.
  • Game winner / Clutch / Overtime: Labels in the game events. The game winner gave the winner one more goal than the loser's final total; a clutch goal tied the game or gave the lead in the last ten minutes.

Power play efficiency

100.0 / 0.0

Penalty kill efficiency

100.0 / 0.0

Penalties

2 / 1

Points in close games (≤2 goals)

2 / 1

Shootout W/L

0-0 / 0-0

Special Teams

HomeMetricAway
1Power plays2
1Power play goals0
2Penalty kills1
0Goals against on PK1

Game Flow

HomeMetricAway
1Take the Lead2
2Equalizers1
0First goal1
0Close game won0
0Close game lost0

Penalties

HomeTypeAway
22 minutes1
02+2 minutes0
010 minutes0
0Match penalty0

Goals per period

Game Events

General Season Performance

HomeMetricAway
36Games played33
60Points88
1.67Points per Game (PPG)2.67
18Wins28
14Losses3
2 OT/PS Wins 2
2 OT/PS Losses 0
5.78Goals per Game (GPG)8.52
5.47Goals Against per Game (GA/G)4.42
0.31Goal Difference per Game (GD/G)4.09
2.80Penalties per Game (Pen/G)2.60
0.60Penalty Kill Goals Against per Game (PK GA/G)0.60

Last 5 Form

HomeMetricAway
L W W L L Last 5 games W W W W W
1.20Points per Game (PPG)3.0
-1.40Goal Difference per Game (GD/G)5.80

Home vs Away Strength

HomeMetricAway
1.82Points per Game (PPG)2.81
0.71Goal Difference per Game (GD/G)3.31
28.57Power Play % vs Away Penalty Kill % (PP% vs PK%)72.73
75.0Penalty Kill % vs Away Power Play % (PK% vs PP%)50.0