Latvia 25/26 Playoffs Semi-finals Final Thu 02 Apr 2026 571 spectators
P1 2:0 P2 0:3 P3 1:3

Pre-game win probability

Upset · winner had 27%
73% Rubene
vs
27% Lekrings

Chance to win the game, overtime and penalty shots included, from the Elo power ratings before the game (Rubene 1749, Lekrings 1619) with home advantage. How it works

Game story

More dramatic than 56% of this season's games
Rubene 11:47 1:0 Ritvars Bērziņš15:51 2:0 Kristers Babris22:51 2:1 Bruno Beķeris33:17 2:2 Olafs Zvīnis38:48 2:3 Jorens Malkavs49:18 2:4 Artūrs Jurševskis57:44 2:5 Roberts Zande58:09 3:5 Jēkabs Keišs59:05 3:6 Bruno Beķeris Lekrings
Lead changes
1
Ties
1
Largest lead
3 Lekrings
Comeback
2 goals down

Key moments

  1. 33:17 2:2 Olafs Zvīnis (Lekrings) Lekrings's win chance 19% → 33%
  2. 38:48 2:3 Jorens Malkavs (Lekrings) Lekrings's win chance 34% → 53%
  3. 49:18 2:4 Artūrs Jurševskis (Lekrings) Lekrings's win chance 63% → 83%

The line shows Rubene's chance to win (top) against Lekrings's (bottom) through the game, from the pre-game ratings, the score and the time left. Dots are goals, bars under the chart penalties. How it works

Stat Guide

Quick explanation of the game and pre-game metrics shown below.

  • Power play efficiency: How often a team scores while playing with a man advantage.
  • Penalty kill efficiency: How often a team prevents goals while shorthanded.
  • PPG: Points per game in the selected sample.
  • GPG / GA/G: Goals scored / conceded per game.
  • GD/G: Goal difference per game (scored minus conceded).
  • OT/PS Wins/Losses: Overtime or shootout outcomes (close-game execution).
  • Last 5 Form: Most recent five games (`W`, `L`, `D`, including OT variants).
  • Win probability: Chance to win from the Elo power ratings of both teams before the game, home advantage, overtime and penalty shots included.
  • Game winner / Clutch / Overtime: Labels in the game events. The game winner gave the winner one more goal than the loser's final total; a clutch goal tied the game or gave the lead in the last ten minutes.

Power play efficiency

0.0 / 66.67

Penalty kill efficiency

33.33 / 100.0

Penalties

3 / 1

Points in close games (≤2 goals)

0 / 0

Shootout W/L

0-0 / 0-0

Special Teams

HomeMetricAway
1Power plays3
0Power play goals2
3Penalty kills1
2Goals against on PK0

Game Flow

HomeMetricAway
1Take the Lead1
0Equalizers1
1First goal0
0Close game won0
0Close game lost0

Penalties

HomeTypeAway
32 minutes1
02+2 minutes0
010 minutes0
0Match penalty0

Goals per period

Game Events

General Season Performance

HomeMetricAway
37Games played40
92Points68
2.49Points per Game (PPG)1.70
29Wins20
5Losses15
2 OT/PS Wins 3
1 OT/PS Losses 2
8.14Goals per Game (GPG)5.70
4.49Goals Against per Game (GA/G)5.42
3.65Goal Difference per Game (GD/G)0.28
3.60Penalties per Game (Pen/G)2.60
1.20Penalty Kill Goals Against per Game (PK GA/G)0.60

Last 5 Form

HomeMetricAway
W L L L W Last 5 games L W W W L
1.40Points per Game (PPG)1.60
0.80Goal Difference per Game (GD/G)-0.80

Home vs Away Strength

HomeMetricAway
2.39Points per Game (PPG)1.60
4.50Goal Difference per Game (GD/G)0.0
23.08Power Play % vs Away Penalty Kill % (PP% vs PK%)76.92
64.71Penalty Kill % vs Away Power Play % (PK% vs PP%)35.29