Latvia 25/26 Playoffs Final Sat 11 Apr 2026 3900 spectators
P1 2:1 P2 1:4 P3 2:5

Pre-game win probability

63% Rubene
vs
37% Talsu NSS/Krauzers

Chance to win the game, overtime and penalty shots included, from the Elo power ratings before the game (Rubene 1687, Talsu NSS/Krauzers 1642) with home advantage. How it works

Game story

More dramatic than 68% of this season's games
Rubene 01:43 0:1 Aleksis Šērs03:53 1:1 Gustavs Siliņš12:35 2:1 Kristers Babris20:21 2:2 Ralfs Polis28:10 2:3 Adrians Spunde32:18 2:4 Ralfs Polis37:28 3:4 Rihards Avots38:07 3:5 Artis Raitums41:06 3:6 Rūdolfs Niedrājs45:06 3:7 Rūdolfs Niedrājs46:28 3:8 Rūdolfs Niedrājs52:58 4:8 Kristers Babris53:30 4:9 Rūdolfs Niedrājs53:48 5:9 Kristers Babris59:52 5:10 Ralfs Polis Talsu NSS/Krauzers
Lead changes
2
Ties
2
Largest lead
5 Talsu NSS/Krauzers
Comeback
1 goals down

Key moments

  1. 28:10 2:3 Adrians Spunde (Talsu NSS/Krauzers) Talsu NSS/Krauzers's win chance 40% → 56%
  2. 37:28 3:4 Rihards Avots (Rubene) Rubene's win chance 24% → 40%
  3. 38:07 3:5 Artis Raitums (Talsu NSS/Krauzers) Talsu NSS/Krauzers's win chance 61% → 77%

The line shows Rubene's chance to win (top) against Talsu NSS/Krauzers's (bottom) through the game, from the pre-game ratings, the score and the time left. Dots are goals, bars under the chart penalties. How it works

Stat Guide

Quick explanation of the game and pre-game metrics shown below.

  • Power play efficiency: How often a team scores while playing with a man advantage.
  • Penalty kill efficiency: How often a team prevents goals while shorthanded.
  • PPG: Points per game in the selected sample.
  • GPG / GA/G: Goals scored / conceded per game.
  • GD/G: Goal difference per game (scored minus conceded).
  • OT/PS Wins/Losses: Overtime or shootout outcomes (close-game execution).
  • Last 5 Form: Most recent five games (`W`, `L`, `D`, including OT variants).
  • Win probability: Chance to win from the Elo power ratings of both teams before the game, home advantage, overtime and penalty shots included.
  • Game winner / Clutch / Overtime: Labels in the game events. The game winner gave the winner one more goal than the loser's final total; a clutch goal tied the game or gave the lead in the last ten minutes.

Power play efficiency

n.a. / n.a.

Penalty kill efficiency

n.a. / n.a.

Penalties

0 / 0

Points in close games (≤2 goals)

0 / 0

Shootout W/L

0-0 / 0-0

Special Teams

HomeMetricAway
0Power plays0
0Power play goals0
0Penalty kills0
0Goals against on PK0

Game Flow

HomeMetricAway
1Take the Lead2
1Equalizers1
0First goal1
0Close game won0
0Close game lost0

Penalties

HomeTypeAway
02 minutes0
02+2 minutes0
010 minutes0
0Match penalty0

Goals per period

Game Events

General Season Performance

HomeMetricAway
38Games played38
92Points75
2.42Points per Game (PPG)1.97
29Wins22
6Losses11
2 OT/PS Wins 4
1 OT/PS Losses 1
8.0Goals per Game (GPG)6.95
4.53Goals Against per Game (GA/G)4.95
3.47Goal Difference per Game (GD/G)2.0
3.60Penalties per Game (Pen/G)2.40
1.40Penalty Kill Goals Against per Game (PK GA/G)1.20

Last 5 Form

HomeMetricAway
L L L W L Last 5 games W L L L L
0.80Points per Game (PPG)0.40
-0.60Goal Difference per Game (GD/G)-2.80

Home vs Away Strength

HomeMetricAway
2.26Points per Game (PPG)1.95
4.11Goal Difference per Game (GD/G)1.74
16.67Power Play % vs Away Penalty Kill % (PP% vs PK%)50.0
58.82Penalty Kill % vs Away Power Play % (PK% vs PP%)62.50