Latvia 26/27 Regular Season Final Wed 16 Sep 2026 208 spectators
P1 1:0 P2 0:2 P3 0:1

Pre-game win probability

Upset · winner had 31%
69% Lielvārde/Unihoc
vs
31% FBK SĀC

Chance to win the game, overtime and penalty shots included, from the Elo power ratings before the game (Lielvārde/Unihoc 1405, FBK SĀC 1307) with home advantage. How it works

Game story

More dramatic than 26% of this season's games
Lielvārde/Unihoc 10:54 1:0 Juris Sandis Jēgers29:22 1:1 Kristers Orlovs30:15 1:2 Dēvids Osītis50:31 1:3 Ralfs Stratans FBK SĀC
Lead changes
1
Ties
1
Largest lead
2 FBK SĀC
Comeback
1 goals down

Key moments

  1. 29:22 1:1 Kristers Orlovs (FBK SĀC) FBK SĀC's win chance 21% → 35%
  2. 30:15 1:2 Dēvids Osītis (FBK SĀC) FBK SĀC's win chance 35% → 51%
  3. 50:31 1:3 Ralfs Stratans (FBK SĀC) FBK SĀC's win chance 67% → 86%

The line shows Lielvārde/Unihoc's chance to win (top) against FBK SĀC's (bottom) through the game, from the pre-game ratings, the score and the time left. Dots are goals, bars under the chart penalties. How it works

Stat Guide

Quick explanation of the game and pre-game metrics shown below.

  • Power play efficiency: How often a team scores while playing with a man advantage.
  • Penalty kill efficiency: How often a team prevents goals while shorthanded.
  • PPG: Points per game in the selected sample.
  • GPG / GA/G: Goals scored / conceded per game.
  • GD/G: Goal difference per game (scored minus conceded).
  • OT/PS Wins/Losses: Overtime or shootout outcomes (close-game execution).
  • Last 5 Form: Most recent five games (`W`, `L`, `D`, including OT variants).
  • Win probability: Chance to win from the Elo power ratings of both teams before the game, home advantage, overtime and penalty shots included.
  • Game winner / Clutch / Overtime: Labels in the game events. The game winner gave the winner one more goal than the loser's final total; a clutch goal tied the game or gave the lead in the last ten minutes.

Power play efficiency

0.0 / 50.0

Penalty kill efficiency

50.0 / 100.0

Penalties

5 / 2

Points in close games (≤2 goals)

0 / 3

Shootout W/L

0-0 / 0-0

Special Teams

HomeMetricAway
2Power plays6
0Power play goals3
6Penalty kills2
3Goals against on PK0

Game Flow

HomeMetricAway
1Take the Lead1
0Equalizers1
1First goal0
0Close game won1
1Close game lost0

Penalties

HomeTypeAway
42 minutes2
12+2 minutes0
010 minutes0
0Match penalty0

Goals per period

Game Events

General Season Performance

HomeMetricAway
1Games played0
0Points0
0.0Points per Game (PPG)0.0
0Wins0
1Losses0
0 OT/PS Wins 0
0 OT/PS Losses 0
3.0Goals per Game (GPG)0.0
7.0Goals Against per Game (GA/G)0.0
-4.0Goal Difference per Game (GD/G)0.0
0.0Penalties per Game (Pen/G)0.0
0.0Penalty Kill Goals Against per Game (PK GA/G)0.0

Last 5 Form

HomeMetricAway
L Last 5 games n.a.
0.0Points per Game (PPG)0.0
-4.0Goal Difference per Game (GD/G)0.0

Home vs Away Strength

HomeMetricAway
0.0Points per Game (PPG)0.0
0.0Goal Difference per Game (GD/G)0.0
0.0Power Play % vs Away Penalty Kill % (PP% vs PK%)n.a.
n.a.Penalty Kill % vs Away Power Play % (PK% vs PP%)n.a.