Latvia 26/27 Regular Season Final · OT Sun 04 Oct 2026 111 spectators
FBK Valmiera Home
7:6
FK Kurši Away
P1 1:1 P2 2:3 P3 3:2 OT 1:0

Pre-game win probability

60% FBK Valmiera
vs
40% FK Kurši

Chance to win the game, overtime and penalty shots included, from the Elo power ratings before the game (FBK Valmiera 1497, FK Kurši 1475) with home advantage. How it works

Game story

More dramatic than 97% of this season's games
FBK Valmiera 11:19 1:0 Ričards Eglītis19:44 1:1 Sandis Lēvalds20:23 1:2 Gvido Griezītis23:21 2:2 Rihards Avots31:36 2:3 Gvido Griezītis32:19 3:3 Georgs Māziņš36:15 3:4 Gvido Griezītis44:08 4:4 Ričards Eglītis48:28 4:5 Sandis Lēvalds50:00 5:5 Georgs Māziņš54:23 6:5 Kārlis Viļums56:44 6:6 Linards PutniņšOT 00:39 7:6 Oskars Siliņš FK Kurši
Lead changes
2
Ties
6
Largest lead
1 FBK Valmiera
Comeback
1 goals down

Key moments

  1. 54:23 6:5 Kārlis Viļums (FBK Valmiera) FBK Valmiera's win chance 54% → 83%
  2. 56:44 6:6 Linards Putniņš (FK Kurši) FK Kurši's win chance 14% → 46%
  3. OT 00:39 7:6 Oskars Siliņš (FBK Valmiera) FBK Valmiera's win chance 54% → 100%

The line shows FBK Valmiera's chance to win (top) against FK Kurši's (bottom) through the game, from the pre-game ratings, the score and the time left. Dots are goals, bars under the chart penalties. How it works

Stat Guide

Quick explanation of the game and pre-game metrics shown below.

  • Power play efficiency: How often a team scores while playing with a man advantage.
  • Penalty kill efficiency: How often a team prevents goals while shorthanded.
  • PPG: Points per game in the selected sample.
  • GPG / GA/G: Goals scored / conceded per game.
  • GD/G: Goal difference per game (scored minus conceded).
  • OT/PS Wins/Losses: Overtime or shootout outcomes (close-game execution).
  • Last 5 Form: Most recent five games (`W`, `L`, `D`, including OT variants).
  • Win probability: Chance to win from the Elo power ratings of both teams before the game, home advantage, overtime and penalty shots included.
  • Game winner / Clutch / Overtime: Labels in the game events. The game winner gave the winner one more goal than the loser's final total; a clutch goal tied the game or gave the lead in the last ten minutes.

Power play efficiency

0.0 / 100.0

Penalty kill efficiency

0.0 / 100.0

Penalties

1 / 2

Points in close games (≤2 goals)

2 / 1

Shootout W/L

0-0 / 0-0

Special Teams

HomeMetricAway
2Power plays1
0Power play goals1
1Penalty kills2
1Goals against on PK0

Game Flow

HomeMetricAway
3Take the Lead4
4Equalizers2
1First goal0
1Close game won0
0Close game lost1

Penalties

HomeTypeAway
12 minutes2
02+2 minutes0
010 minutes0
0Match penalty0

Goals per period

Game Events

General Season Performance

HomeMetricAway
5Games played4
5Points6
1.0Points per Game (PPG)1.50
1Wins2
3Losses2
1 OT/PS Wins 0
0 OT/PS Losses 0
4.60Goals per Game (GPG)5.0
4.40Goals Against per Game (GA/G)6.25
0.20Goal Difference per Game (GD/G)-1.25
2.0Penalties per Game (Pen/G)1.25
0.20Penalty Kill Goals Against per Game (PK GA/G)0.25

Last 5 Form

HomeMetricAway
L L L W W Last 5 games W L L W
1.0Points per Game (PPG)1.50
0.20Goal Difference per Game (GD/G)-1.25

Home vs Away Strength

HomeMetricAway
1.0Points per Game (PPG)1.50
0.0Goal Difference per Game (GD/G)-2.50
30.77Power Play % vs Away Penalty Kill % (PP% vs PK%)80.0
88.89Penalty Kill % vs Away Power Play % (PK% vs PP%)40.0