Latvia 26/27 Regular Season Final Thu 08 Oct 2026 64 spectators
P1 1:0 P2 2:2 P3 0:5

Pre-game win probability

38% FBK SĀC
vs
62% FK Talsi/TNSS/Krauzers

Chance to win the game, overtime and penalty shots included, from the Elo power ratings before the game (FBK SĀC 1334, FK Talsi/TNSS/Krauzers 1467) with home advantage. How it works

Game story

More dramatic than 64% of this season's games
FBK SĀC 08:27 1:0 Niks Cekarevs23:18 1:1 Klāvs Araks23:42 2:1 Gustavs Celmiņš30:50 3:1 Ralfs Stratans34:26 3:2 Mariss Bergmanis43:52 3:3 Klāvs Araks51:00 3:4 Jānis Ragovskis56:59 3:5 Adrians Spunde57:26 3:6 Mariss Bergmanis59:15 3:7 Jānis Škutāns FK Talsi/TNSS/Krauzers
Lead changes
1
Ties
2
Largest lead
4 FK Talsi/TNSS/Krauzers
Comeback
2 goals down

Key moments

  1. 34:26 3:2 Mariss Bergmanis (FK Talsi/TNSS/Krauzers) FK Talsi/TNSS/Krauzers's win chance 25% → 41%
  2. 43:52 3:3 Klāvs Araks (FK Talsi/TNSS/Krauzers) FK Talsi/TNSS/Krauzers's win chance 36% → 57%
  3. 51:00 3:4 Jānis Ragovskis (FK Talsi/TNSS/Krauzers) FK Talsi/TNSS/Krauzers's win chance 56% → 80%

The line shows FBK SĀC's chance to win (top) against FK Talsi/TNSS/Krauzers's (bottom) through the game, from the pre-game ratings, the score and the time left. Dots are goals, bars under the chart penalties. How it works

Stat Guide

Quick explanation of the game and pre-game metrics shown below.

  • Power play efficiency: How often a team scores while playing with a man advantage.
  • Penalty kill efficiency: How often a team prevents goals while shorthanded.
  • PPG: Points per game in the selected sample.
  • GPG / GA/G: Goals scored / conceded per game.
  • GD/G: Goal difference per game (scored minus conceded).
  • OT/PS Wins/Losses: Overtime or shootout outcomes (close-game execution).
  • Last 5 Form: Most recent five games (`W`, `L`, `D`, including OT variants).
  • Win probability: Chance to win from the Elo power ratings of both teams before the game, home advantage, overtime and penalty shots included.
  • Game winner / Clutch / Overtime: Labels in the game events. The game winner gave the winner one more goal than the loser's final total; a clutch goal tied the game or gave the lead in the last ten minutes.

Power play efficiency

0.0 / 0.0

Penalty kill efficiency

100.0 / 100.0

Penalties

1 / 2

Points in close games (≤2 goals)

0 / 0

Shootout W/L

0-0 / 0-0

Special Teams

HomeMetricAway
2Power plays1
0Power play goals0
1Penalty kills2
0Goals against on PK0

Game Flow

HomeMetricAway
2Take the Lead1
0Equalizers2
1First goal0
0Close game won0
0Close game lost0

Penalties

HomeTypeAway
12 minutes2
02+2 minutes0
010 minutes0
0Match penalty0

Goals per period

Game Events

General Season Performance

HomeMetricAway
4Games played4
6Points4
1.50Points per Game (PPG)1.0
2Wins1
2Losses2
0 OT/PS Wins 0
0 OT/PS Losses 1
4.25Goals per Game (GPG)5.25
6.25Goals Against per Game (GA/G)5.25
-2.0Goal Difference per Game (GD/G)0.0
1.50Penalties per Game (Pen/G)2.50
0.25Penalty Kill Goals Against per Game (PK GA/G)0.75

Last 5 Form

HomeMetricAway
W W L L Last 5 games W L L L
1.50Points per Game (PPG)1.0
-2.0Goal Difference per Game (GD/G)0.0

Home vs Away Strength

HomeMetricAway
1.0Points per Game (PPG)0.50
-3.33Goal Difference per Game (GD/G)-1.0
53.85Power Play % vs Away Penalty Kill % (PP% vs PK%)70.0
83.33Penalty Kill % vs Away Power Play % (PK% vs PP%)33.33