Latvia 26/27 Regular Season Final · OT Fri 02 Oct 2026 292 spectators
Rubene Home
6:5
Lielvārde/Unihoc Away
P1 0:0 P2 1:3 P3 3:2 OT 1:0

Pre-game win probability

84% Rubene
vs
16% Lielvārde/Unihoc

Chance to win the game, overtime and penalty shots included, from the Elo power ratings before the game (Rubene 1636, Lielvārde/Unihoc 1390) with home advantage. How it works

Game story

More dramatic than 100% of this season's games
Rubene 21:28 0:1 Matiass Dāvids Mudelis22:40 0:2 Edvards Gustavs Rašmanis33:31 1:2 Jēkabs Keišs34:36 1:3 Andrejs Kristens Saļkovs43:01 2:3 Dāvis Zēmelis47:14 3:3 Kārlis Dūmiņš49:02 3:4 Aleksis Saļkovs54:14 3:5 Matiass Dāvids Mudelis55:27 4:5 Jēkabs KeišsOT 02:34 5:5 Jēkabs Keišs Lielvārde/Unihoc
Lead changes
0
Ties
2
Largest lead
2 Lielvārde/Unihoc
Comeback
2 goals down

Key moments

  1. 49:02 3:4 Aleksis Saļkovs (Lielvārde/Unihoc) Lielvārde/Unihoc's win chance 29% → 54%
  2. 54:14 3:5 Matiass Dāvids Mudelis (Lielvārde/Unihoc) Lielvārde/Unihoc's win chance 65% → 88%
  3. OT 02:34 5:5 Jēkabs Keišs (Rubene) Rubene's win chance 0% → 100%

The line shows Rubene's chance to win (top) against Lielvārde/Unihoc's (bottom) through the game, from the pre-game ratings, the score and the time left. Dots are goals, bars under the chart penalties. How it works

Stat Guide

Quick explanation of the game and pre-game metrics shown below.

  • Power play efficiency: How often a team scores while playing with a man advantage.
  • Penalty kill efficiency: How often a team prevents goals while shorthanded.
  • PPG: Points per game in the selected sample.
  • GPG / GA/G: Goals scored / conceded per game.
  • GD/G: Goal difference per game (scored minus conceded).
  • OT/PS Wins/Losses: Overtime or shootout outcomes (close-game execution).
  • Last 5 Form: Most recent five games (`W`, `L`, `D`, including OT variants).
  • Win probability: Chance to win from the Elo power ratings of both teams before the game, home advantage, overtime and penalty shots included.
  • Game winner / Clutch / Overtime: Labels in the game events. The game winner gave the winner one more goal than the loser's final total; a clutch goal tied the game or gave the lead in the last ten minutes.

Power play efficiency

0.0 / 0.0

Penalty kill efficiency

100.0 / 100.0

Penalties

3 / 4

Points in close games (≤2 goals)

2 / 1

Shootout W/L

0-0 / 0-0

Special Teams

HomeMetricAway
6Power plays4
0Power play goals0
4Penalty kills6
0Goals against on PK0

Game Flow

HomeMetricAway
1Take the Lead2
1Equalizers0
0First goal1
1Close game won0
0Close game lost1

Penalties

HomeTypeAway
22 minutes2
02+2 minutes1
010 minutes0
1Match penalty1

Goals per period

Game Events

General Season Performance

HomeMetricAway
4Games played3
10Points3
2.50Points per Game (PPG)1.0
3Wins1
0Losses2
0 OT/PS Wins 0
1 OT/PS Losses 0
6.0Goals per Game (GPG)2.0
5.25Goals Against per Game (GA/G)3.67
0.75Goal Difference per Game (GD/G)-1.67
3.0Penalties per Game (Pen/G)2.33
1.0Penalty Kill Goals Against per Game (PK GA/G)1.0

Last 5 Form

HomeMetricAway
W W L W Last 5 games L L W
2.50Points per Game (PPG)1.0
0.75Goal Difference per Game (GD/G)-1.67

Home vs Away Strength

HomeMetricAway
2.0Points per Game (PPG)1.50
0.0Goal Difference per Game (GD/G)-1.50
11.11Power Play % vs Away Penalty Kill % (PP% vs PK%)62.50
60.0Penalty Kill % vs Away Power Play % (PK% vs PP%)0.0