Latvia 26/27 Regular Season Final · OT Wed 30 Sep 2026 268 spectators
P1 0:2 P2 0:1 P3 3:0 OT 1:0

Pre-game win probability

Upset · winner had 23%
23% Ķekava/RB&B
vs
77% Lekrings

Chance to win the game, overtime and penalty shots included, from the Elo power ratings before the game (Ķekava/RB&B 1429, Lekrings 1680) with home advantage. How it works

Game story

More dramatic than 41% of this season's games
Ķekava/RB&B 12:56 0:1 Kevins Šmits14:44 0:2 Edgars Puriņš34:33 0:3 Bruno Beķeris40:43 1:3 Toms Ķeirāns41:50 2:3 Endijs Umberts Barruss49:46 3:3 Kārlis DeginsOT 01:08 4:3 Patriks Bliska Lekrings
Lead changes
1
Ties
1
Largest lead
3 Lekrings
Comeback
3 goals down

Key moments

  1. 41:50 2:3 Endijs Umberts Barruss (Ķekava/RB&B) Ķekava/RB&B's win chance 8% → 17%
  2. 49:46 3:3 Kārlis Degins (Ķekava/RB&B) Ķekava/RB&B's win chance 15% → 35%
  3. OT 01:08 4:3 Patriks Bliska (Ķekava/RB&B) Ķekava/RB&B's win chance 39% → 100%

The line shows Ķekava/RB&B's chance to win (top) against Lekrings's (bottom) through the game, from the pre-game ratings, the score and the time left. Dots are goals, bars under the chart penalties. How it works

Stat Guide

Quick explanation of the game and pre-game metrics shown below.

  • Power play efficiency: How often a team scores while playing with a man advantage.
  • Penalty kill efficiency: How often a team prevents goals while shorthanded.
  • PPG: Points per game in the selected sample.
  • GPG / GA/G: Goals scored / conceded per game.
  • GD/G: Goal difference per game (scored minus conceded).
  • OT/PS Wins/Losses: Overtime or shootout outcomes (close-game execution).
  • Last 5 Form: Most recent five games (`W`, `L`, `D`, including OT variants).
  • Win probability: Chance to win from the Elo power ratings of both teams before the game, home advantage, overtime and penalty shots included.
  • Game winner / Clutch / Overtime: Labels in the game events. The game winner gave the winner one more goal than the loser's final total; a clutch goal tied the game or gave the lead in the last ten minutes.

Power play efficiency

0.0 / 0.0

Penalty kill efficiency

100.0 / 100.0

Penalties

2 / 2

Points in close games (≤2 goals)

0 / 0

Shootout W/L

0-0 / 0-0

Special Teams

HomeMetricAway
2Power plays2
0Power play goals0
2Penalty kills2
0Goals against on PK0

Game Flow

HomeMetricAway
1Take the Lead1
1Equalizers0
0First goal1
0Close game won0
0Close game lost0

Penalties

HomeTypeAway
22 minutes2
02+2 minutes0
010 minutes0
0Match penalty0

Goals per period

Game Events

General Season Performance

HomeMetricAway
4Games played4
1Points8
0.25Points per Game (PPG)2.0
0Wins2
3Losses1
0 OT/PS Wins 1
1 OT/PS Losses 0
5.25Goals per Game (GPG)5.50
7.25Goals Against per Game (GA/G)4.25
-2.0Goal Difference per Game (GD/G)1.25
4.50Penalties per Game (Pen/G)1.50
0.75Penalty Kill Goals Against per Game (PK GA/G)0.50

Last 5 Form

HomeMetricAway
L L L L Last 5 games L W W W
0.25Points per Game (PPG)2.0
-2.0Goal Difference per Game (GD/G)1.25

Home vs Away Strength

HomeMetricAway
0.50Points per Game (PPG)2.0
-1.0Goal Difference per Game (GD/G)1.0
30.0Power Play % vs Away Penalty Kill % (PP% vs PK%)60.0
80.0Penalty Kill % vs Away Power Play % (PK% vs PP%)55.56